Stifel cuts MGM Resorts stock price target to $44

Published 01/05/2025, 11:30
Stifel cuts MGM Resorts stock price target to $44

On Thursday, Stifel analysts adjusted their outlook for MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM), lowering the price target from $50.00 to $44.00 but maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. With the current stock price at $31.46, InvestingPro data shows analyst targets ranging from $35 to $60, suggesting significant upside potential despite the revision. The adjustment reflects a cautious approach amid potential economic challenges, despite strong current performance indicators for the company.

The analysts noted that the Las Vegas Strip’s results were robust, with demand and spending patterns remaining vigorous through April. This strength is reflected in MGM’s impressive 45.5% gross profit margin and positive revenue growth of 6.7% over the last twelve months. Nonetheless, they expressed uncertainty regarding the sustainability of these trends in the eyes of investors, especially considering the anticipated macroeconomic headwinds.

In light of these concerns, Stifel has incorporated a moderate recession into their forecasts, expected to begin in the second half of 2025. This conservative stance is influenced by the broader market sentiment, despite the current financial health of consumers and the presence of accumulated savings.

Stifel’s analysis suggests that MGM Resorts is unlikely to see its financial results decline to the level of their revised estimates. This implies that their new price target may be on the cautious side. According to InvestingPro’s comprehensive analysis, MGM currently maintains a "GOOD" financial health score, with particularly strong marks in relative value and profitability. The firm emphasized the intrinsic value in MGM Resorts’ shares, which are currently trading below 5.5 times the projected 2026 EBITDA.

Furthermore, Stifel highlighted that MGM Resorts’ free cash flow generation and development pipeline are not receiving due attention from the market. InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock is currently undervalued, with management actively buying back shares and maintaining a strong 14% free cash flow yield. The firm’s outlook suggests confidence in MGM Resorts’ financial prospects, despite the reduction in the price target and the anticipation of economic downturns in the near future.

In other recent news, MGM Resorts International reported its Q1 2025 earnings, surpassing analysts’ expectations with an EPS of $0.69 against a forecast of $0.49. Despite slightly missing its revenue forecast, coming in at $4.28 billion, the company’s stock saw a positive reaction in after-hours trading. The earnings beat was largely driven by BetMGM’s 34% revenue growth and strategic expansions in international markets. Additionally, Citi analysts raised their price target for MGM Resorts to $52, maintaining a Buy rating, reflecting confidence in the company’s performance and strategic initiatives. The company is also targeting a significant enhancement of its EBITDA, aiming for an improvement of over $150 million by 2025 through revenue actions and cost-saving measures. Furthermore, MGM has increased its investment commitment to the Osaka project, with expectations of a high-teen return. The company is on track to submit a proposal for a new development in New York as part of its expansion strategy. These developments highlight MGM’s strategic focus and operational execution in recent months.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.