Stifel maintains $17 PT on Portillo’s stock, reiterates buy rating

Published 28/05/2025, 12:50
Stifel maintains $17 PT on Portillo’s stock, reiterates buy rating

On Wednesday, Stifel analysts maintained their positive stance on Portillo’s Inc (NASDAQ: PTLO), reiterating a Buy rating and a price target of $17.00, representing a 45% premium to the current price of $11.74. The endorsement follows recent investor meetings with the company’s top executives, which bolstered the firm’s confidence in the stock’s potential. Despite acknowledging that first-quarter sales at new Portillo’s locations fell short of expectations, Stifel believes the issues are manageable and anticipates a turnaround as the year progresses. According to InvestingPro data, the company maintains a "Fair" overall financial health score, though its stock price movements have been notably volatile.

The meetings with CEO Michael Osanloo, CFO Michelle Hook, and VP of IR Kyle Nelsen left Stifel analysts optimistic about Portillo’s future performance. The analysts expect the company to stand out as one of the better-performing small-cap restaurant stocks in the current year. This expectation is supported by initiatives aimed at driving customer traffic, particularly in the Chicagoland area, which is expected to help improve same-restaurant sales (SRS) performance. The company’s revenue growth of 4.57% in the last twelve months and projected 10% growth for fiscal year 2025 support this optimistic outlook. Get deeper insights into Portillo’s growth potential and more exclusive analysis with InvestingPro, which offers comprehensive research reports for over 1,400 US stocks.

Stifel’s analysis suggests that Portillo’s has significant room to expand its market share, even in regions where it is already well-established. The company’s planned efforts to entice more customers and enhance its presence in these markets are seen as a positive move for the brand’s growth.

Moreover, Portillo’s is actively working to reduce construction costs for new restaurants by using Reduced Operating Timeframe (ROTF) prototypes and considering alternative formats. These strategies are part of the company’s broader objective to reach a long-term goal of 920 units. Stifel’s outlook is based on these ongoing improvements and strategic initiatives, which are expected to contribute to Portillo’s growth and profitability.

In other recent news, Portillo’s Inc. reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, revealing a revenue of $176.4 million, which fell short of the anticipated $181.01 million. Despite the revenue miss, the company met its earnings per share forecast of $0.05. Portillo’s noted a 6.4% year-over-year revenue increase, driven by a 1.8% rise in same-restaurant sales. The company plans to open 12 new restaurants in 2025 and is targeting a 10-12% revenue growth. In addition, Portillo’s is expanding its loyalty program and testing new restaurant formats. Analysts from Piper Sandler and William Blair discussed the company’s performance, noting challenges in newer markets like Houston. Portillo’s management highlighted ongoing efforts to boost brand awareness and customer engagement through strategic marketing initiatives. Despite the challenges, Portillo’s remains optimistic about its future growth trajectory.

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