Stifel maintains Buy on Ambarella stock, $80 target

Published 28/05/2025, 12:58
Stifel maintains Buy on Ambarella stock, $80 target

On Wednesday, Stifel analysts maintained a positive outlook on Ambarella (NASDAQ:AMBA) shares, reiterating a Buy rating and an $80.00 price target. The stock, currently trading at $62.48, has shown strong momentum with a 24% return over the past year, though InvestingPro data indicates the stock’s RSI suggests overbought territory. The firm’s analysis projects that Ambarella’s financial results for the April quarter will align with their expectations of $84.0 million, driven by significant growth factors. These include the continued success of Ambarella’s CV5 product family from the end of the fiscal year 2025 and the CV7 family reaching production with three customers buying in production quantities in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025.

The analysts anticipate that Ambarella may present guidance for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 that could exceed Stifel’s current revenue estimate of $84.8 million. This estimate represents a modest 1.0% quarter-over-quarter increase, which is slightly under the five-year average seasonality of a 2.3% increase. While the company isn’t currently profitable, with a -$2.84 EPS over the last twelve months, InvestingPro analysis shows strong financial health indicators, including a healthy current ratio of 2.65 and more cash than debt on its balance sheet. The anticipated guidance suggests a potential upside bias in Ambarella’s revenue trajectory.

Stifel’s analysts underscore the significant opportunity for Ambarella within the artificial intelligence capital expenditure upgrade cycle. They emphasize the company’s strong positioning to capitalize on Edge AI opportunities in the upcoming years. According to Stifel, Ambarella is one of the few small to mid-cap semiconductor stocks poised for growth in this sector.

The $80 price target is based on an 8.6x multiple of the company’s estimated enterprise value to sales for the calendar year 2026. This valuation reflects Stifel’s confidence in Ambarella’s growth prospects and its strategic position within the semiconductor and AI industries. With these factors in mind, Stifel reaffirms its Buy rating, signaling continued optimism for Ambarella’s stock performance. According to InvestingPro, which offers comprehensive analysis through its Pro Research Reports covering 1,400+ stocks, Ambarella currently appears slightly overvalued based on its proprietary Fair Value model. Subscribers can access 8 additional ProTips and detailed financial metrics to make more informed investment decisions.

In other recent news, Ambarella has announced the appointment of Chantelle Breithaupt as an independent director to its board and as a member of the Audit Committee. Breithaupt’s extensive experience includes roles as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks (NYSE:ANET), Inc., and Aspen Technology (NASDAQ:AZPN), as well as leadership positions at Cisco Systems Inc (NASDAQ:CSCO). This appointment is part of Ambarella’s efforts to enhance board diversification and governance. In addition, Ambarella’s Compensation Committee has approved a Fiscal Year 2026 Annual Bonus Plan, which features a bonus pool approximately 19% larger than the previous year, aimed at incentivizing executives based on performance metrics.

Stifel analysts have raised their price target for Ambarella shares to $100 from $80, maintaining a "Buy" rating. The revision reflects Ambarella’s strong positioning in growth segments such as artificial intelligence, with the CV5 and CV7 product families expected to drive significant revenue growth. Stifel projects these products could account for about 50% of the year-over-year top-line growth in fiscal year 2026, with an anticipated 17.3% year-over-year increase. The company’s presence in the Internet of Things and automotive sectors is also expected to contribute to revenue growth in FY26E.

Additionally, Stifel analysts have reported that the clean energy sector maintains a robust project pipeline despite new tariffs on the automotive industry. These tariffs, imposed under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, include a 25% levy on imported automobiles and certain auto parts. Stifel believes these tariffs could negatively impact the U.S. auto industry in the short term, potentially leading to higher consumer prices and reduced vehicle demand.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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