Stifel maintains Dutch Bros Buy rating, $85 target post-Investor Day

Published 31/03/2025, 14:10
Stifel maintains Dutch Bros Buy rating, $85 target post-Investor Day

On Monday, Stifel analysts maintained a positive outlook on Dutch Bros Inc. (NYSE:BROS) shares, reiterating a Buy rating and an $85.00 price target. The affirmation comes in the wake of the company’s first Investor Day, where Dutch Bros outlined its expansion strategy and updated its long-term goals. The coffee chain has increased its estimated potential growth to 7,000 units, a significant jump from the previously projected 4,000 units. This ambitious expansion plan aligns with the company’s impressive 32.6% revenue growth over the last twelve months to $1.28 billion. According to InvestingPro data, analysts expect continued sales growth this year, though the stock currently trades above its Fair Value.

The company also introduced a new restaurant margin goal while confirming its long-term growth algorithm. Despite first-quarter comparable store sales being slightly below Stifel’s expectations, the analysts remain optimistic due to Dutch Bros’ effective use of paid advertising to increase brand awareness and comparable sales in new markets. The company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 26.5% and operates with a moderate level of debt, as revealed by InvestingPro analysis.

During a store visit, Stifel analysts observed opportunities for Dutch Bros to enhance operational efficiency through improved labor scheduling and workflow management. These changes are anticipated to contribute to the company’s throughput in the intermediate term.

Furthermore, Dutch Bros’ financial outlook appears robust, with improving cash flows and the prospect of more build-to-suit financing arrangements. The anticipated favorable capitalization rates for these financing deals are expected to support the company’s self-funded growth strategy.

Stifel’s continued support for Dutch Bros’ stock reflects confidence in the company’s strategic initiatives and its ability to achieve long-term financial targets. The $85.00 price target set by Stifel suggests a positive view of the stock’s performance over the next 12 months.

In other recent news, Dutch Bros Inc. has been the focus of several analyst evaluations and updates. Guggenheim raised its price target for the company to $72, maintaining a Buy rating, following Dutch Bros’ Investor Day where they presented an updated market potential of 7,000 locations and a same-store sales increase of 4.6% for the quarter-to-date. TD Cowen also reiterated a Buy rating with a price target of $89, highlighting Dutch Bros’ successful initiatives in mobile ordering and advertising, and projecting same-store sales growth of 5.0% for 2025 and 4.0% for 2026, surpassing consensus estimates. UBS maintained its Buy rating with a $90 target, noting the company’s strategic plans for revenue growth and store expansion, alongside a revised total addressable market of more than 7,000 units.

Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) initiated coverage on Dutch Bros with an Overweight rating and an $80 price target, emphasizing the company’s strong unit economics and potential for significant market expansion, with expectations of over 30% EBITDA growth. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) also began coverage, assigning an Overweight rating and an $82 target, citing the company’s strong customer loyalty and engagement as key growth drivers. These recent developments reflect a positive outlook from multiple analysts, who see Dutch Bros as a compelling growth story in the consumer sector.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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