Stifel maintains FTAI Aviation buy rating, $100 target

Published 27/02/2025, 16:28
Stifel maintains FTAI Aviation buy rating, $100 target

On Thursday, Stifel analysts maintained a positive outlook on FTAI Aviation shares (NASDAQ:FTAI), reiterating a Buy rating with a $100.00 price target. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets for FTAI range from $100 to $300, with the stock currently trading at high valuation multiples. The firm’s analyst pointed out that despite FTAI Aviation’s reported earnings falling short of expectations, the aerospace segment performed better than anticipated, surpassing estimates by approximately $4 million. The specifics behind this outperformance were not detailed, making it challenging to pinpoint the exact cause.

FTAI Aviation recently announced a significant expansion of its Strategic Capital Initiative (SCI), securing a $2.5 billion debt commitment to support the now enlarged $4 billion program. This move is aimed at bolstering the company’s financial structure and future growth prospects. InvestingPro analysis shows the company operates with a moderate debt level and maintains strong liquidity, with a current ratio of 3.53. In a strategic acquisition move, FTAI Aviation also acquired a 50% stake in IAG Engine Center Europe, which is expected to add an annual capacity of 450 modules, assuming full utilization.

Looking ahead, the company has kept its 2025 financial guidance unchanged. However, it has raised its 2026 revenue forecast from $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion, attributing this increase to the inclusion of the Strategic Capital Initiative starting in 2026. This upward revision indicates a more optimistic outlook for the company’s performance in the near future.

Stifel’s analysis suggests that recent discussions with investors have been bullish, and coupled with the improved guidance, there is an anticipation that FTAI Aviation’s stock might see an uptick in trading on Friday. The analyst also noted that the price target is currently under review, hinting at the possibility of an adjustment in the near term based on the company’s latest developments and financial projections.

In other recent news, FTAI Aviation Ltd reported its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, revealing an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.84, which was below the anticipated $0.88. The company’s revenue also fell short of expectations, coming in at $498.82 million compared to the forecasted $509.53 million. Despite these misses, FTAI Aviation’s adjusted EBITDA showed a robust 55% year-over-year increase, reaching $252 million, with the Aerospace Products segment experiencing a 115% rise in EBITDA. The company has set a target for a $1.4 billion EBITDA by 2026, supported by strategic initiatives including a joint venture in Rome. Additionally, FTAI Aviation announced the launch of its Strategic Capital Initiative, which received a $2.5 billion commitment for asset-level debt financing from Atlas (NYSE:ATCO), a subsidiary of Apollo and Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn). The company aims to boost its market share and optimize maintenance strategies, projecting its 2025 business segment EBITDA to be between $1.1 billion and $1.15 billion. Despite missing earnings forecasts, the company’s strategic growth plans and increased EBITDA have contributed to positive investor sentiment.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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