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On Monday, Stifel analysts upgraded Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:FND) stock rating from Hold to Buy, increasing the price target to $110 from the previous $100. The upgrade followed the company’s fourth-quarter results for fiscal year 2024, which exceeded Stifel’s forecasts, demonstrating stronger profitability and comparable sales that significantly surpassed their estimates.
The analysts cited the company’s improving revenue growth trajectory as a key factor in the decision to upgrade the rating. Stifel has modestly raised their full-year 2025 earnings (FY25E) estimate, which remains at the lower end of the company’s initial FY25 guidance. InvestingPro forecasts suggest an 8% revenue growth for FY2025, with the company maintaining a healthy gross profit margin of 43.89%. This guidance is seen by the analysts as a realistic benchmark that shifts attention away from concerns about ongoing negative revisions and towards Floor & Decor’s long-term growth potential.
Stifel’s outlook for the company’s earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 remains largely unchanged, including what they consider a full but achievable fundamental acceleration. The analysts now predict a modest free cash flow (FCF) generation from FY25E to FY27E, with continued investment reinforcing Floor & Decor’s unmatched position of strength.
Despite the uncertain market demand and additional risks such as tariffs and labor inflation, Stifel believes that Floor & Decor’s advantages will provide resilience and sustain its robust valuation. This resilience, according to the analysts, will allow investor enthusiasm to grow for what they see as a transformative growth opportunity for the company.
In other recent news, Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. reported impressive financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024, exceeding analyst expectations. The company achieved an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.44, surpassing the projected $0.25, and generated revenue of $1.11 billion, which was higher than the anticipated $1.08 billion. Truist Securities reaffirmed their Buy rating on Floor & Decor, maintaining a price target of $115, citing strong sales performance in November and December despite a slight year-to-date sales dip due to weather-related disruptions. Analysts noted the company’s strategic shift in supply sources, with the United States now accounting for 27% of its product supply, reducing reliance on China. Floor & Decor plans to expand its footprint by opening 25 new stores in fiscal 2025 and projects sales growth of 6.5% to 10% for the year. The company also continues to diversify its supply chain and expand product offerings. These recent developments reflect a positive outlook for Floor & Decor, as analysts and investors closely monitor the company’s performance amidst a challenging retail environment.
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