Stifel raises ONE Gas stock price target to $76 from $74

Published 16/05/2025, 18:58
Stifel raises ONE Gas stock price target to $76 from $74

On Friday, Stifel analysts increased their price target on ONE Gas Inc. (NYSE:OGS) to $76.00, up from the previous $74.00, while keeping a Hold rating on the stock. With a market capitalization of $4.48 billion and current trading price of $74.78, InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock is trading above its Fair Value. The adjustment follows ONE Gas’s first-quarter financial results for 2025, which surpassed analyst expectations, with the company reporting revenue of $2.26 billion and earnings per share of $4.21 over the last twelve months. The company’s performance was bolstered by effective cost management, a solid increase in customer numbers, and the impact of colder weather, leading management to anticipate reaching the higher end of its earnings per share (EPS) guidance for the year. Notably, ONE Gas has maintained a strong dividend profile, having raised its dividend for 11 consecutive years, with a current yield of 3.61%.

ONE Gas management has also reaffirmed its commitment to several growth initiatives within its service areas, with a particular focus on projects in Austin. Stifel’s commentary highlighted the company’s adept navigation of market uncertainties. Additionally, ONE Gas has entered into an equity forward sales agreement, which is expected to secure the necessary capital for its equity needs. The company maintains a moderate debt profile with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.01.

The Stifel analysts’ remarks emphasize the company’s strong execution in the face of market challenges and its strategic measures to ensure financial stability. Despite the positive outlook reflected in the company’s recent developments and the raised price target, Stifel has opted to maintain a Hold rating on ONE Gas stock at this time.

ONE Gas’s strategic focus on growth and capital management appears to be a response to the current market environment, aiming to strengthen its position and deliver on its financial goals. The equity forward sales agreement, in particular, is a move to solidify its capital structure in anticipation of future equity requirements.

Investors and market watchers will likely keep an eye on ONE Gas’s progress as it continues to implement its growth strategy and aims to meet its EPS guidance for 2025. The raised price target from Stifel reflects a recognition of the company’s recent performance and management’s actions to navigate the current economic landscape. For deeper insights into ONE Gas’s financial health and growth prospects, InvestingPro subscribers can access comprehensive analysis, including additional ProTips and the detailed Pro Research Report, which provides expert analysis of what really matters for this utility stock.

In other recent news, ONE Gas, Inc. reported its first-quarter 2025 financial results, revealing a solid performance that exceeded market expectations. The company achieved earnings per share of $1.98, surpassing the forecast of $1.85, and generated $935.2 million in revenue, which was higher than the anticipated $811.2 million. Net income rose to $119.4 million, up from $99.3 million in the previous year, driven by new rate implementations and colder weather in its service areas. Additionally, ONE Gas announced a public offering of 2.5 million shares of common stock, with an option for the underwriter to purchase up to 375,000 extra shares, under a forward sale agreement with JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) Bank.

The proceeds from this offering are intended for general corporate purposes, including debt management and infrastructure investments. Analysts have noted the company’s strong operational efficiencies, as reflected in its impressive earnings results. The forward sale agreement is set to be settled by December 31, 2026, with the company having the option for cash or net share settlement. ONE Gas’s recent developments also include a projected net income range for 2025 between $254 million and $261 million, alongside plans to continue strategic initiatives such as regulatory filings for rate adjustments. The company’s financial outlook is supported by a five-year plan that anticipates a 6% earnings per share compound annual growth rate through 2029, as highlighted by the firm’s executive team.

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