Stifel resumes TXO Energy stock with Buy, sets $20 target

Published 23/04/2025, 11:24
Stifel resumes TXO Energy stock with Buy, sets $20 target

On Wednesday, Stifel analysts reinstated coverage of TXO Energy Partners (NYSE: TXO) with a Buy rating and established a price target of $20.00 per share. Currently trading at $16.92, the stock has attracted attention from analysts who have set price targets ranging from $22 to $27. The firm highlighted the company’s experienced leadership and low debt as key factors in its positive outlook. InvestingPro data confirms the company operates with moderate debt levels, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26. TXO Energy Partners, characterized by Stifel as a low-leveraged exploration and production master limited partnership (MLP), has garnered attention for its asset portfolio, which includes holdings in the San Juan Basin, the Permian Basin, and the Bakken Shale.

The assets, particularly noted for their low production decline rates, have been further bolstered by a recent acquisition in the Bakken region. Stifel pointed out that TXO Energy’s conservative capital expenditure budget is designed to maintain relatively stable production levels while cash flows are expected to fluctuate with commodity prices, albeit mitigated by the company’s hedging strategies.

Stifel’s analysis also underscored the company’s distribution strategy, which aims to allocate 100% of its cash available for distribution to its unitholders. This approach is backed by a goal to sustain leverage around 1x. The firm’s positive stance is further justified by the potential total return of 29% for TXO Energy Partners’ unitholders, which is anticipated to come from an 11% yield, based on Stifel’s 2025 distribution estimate, and an 18% capital appreciation. Current InvestingPro data shows an impressive dividend yield of 14.42%, with dividend growth of 17.31% over the last twelve months. For investors seeking deeper insights, InvestingPro offers 8 additional key tips about TXO’s financial health and growth prospects.

In other recent news, TXO Partners, L.P. has made significant changes to its executive leadership team. The company announced the appointment of Lawrence S. Massaro to its Board of Directors. Massaro brings over 40 years of experience in the energy sector, having held leadership roles at companies like Silverado Oil & Gas and Newfield Exploration Company (NYSE:NFX). Additionally, TXO Partners has named Gary D. Simpson and Brent W. Clum as Co-Chief Executive Officers, succeeding Bob R. Simpson, who will retire as CEO in April 2025 but remain Chairman of the Board. The newly appointed Co-CEOs have also been awarded 200,000 phantom units collectively under the 2023 Long-Term Incentive Plan. This transition is part of a broader strategic effort to strengthen the company’s governance and business operations. The company emphasizes the depth of experience and vision that the new leaders bring, aiming to continue creating value for shareholders. These developments reflect TXO Partners’ commitment to ensuring leadership continuity and future success.

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