TD Cowen lifts Elanco stock price target to $15 on strong Q1

Published 21/05/2025, 18:12
TD Cowen lifts Elanco stock price target to $15 on strong Q1

On Wednesday, Elanco Animal Health ’s (NYSE:ELAN) stock outlook brightened as TD Cowen analyst Steve Scala increased the company’s price target from $12.00 to $15.00, while maintaining a Buy rating. The stock, which has shown strong momentum with impressive returns over the past three months according to InvestingPro data, currently trades at $12.84. Scala’s optimism is rooted in Elanco’s robust first-quarter performance and the raised revenue estimates for the year 2025.

Elanco’s revenue projections were revised upward to $4,545 million, surpassing the company’s own updated guidance range of $4,510-4,580 million and the consensus estimate of $4,520 million. This builds upon the company’s current last twelve months revenue of $4.43 billion and healthy gross profit margin of 54.9%. The upward revision was also a step up from TD Cowen’s previous estimate of $4,480 million. The adjustment reflects not only a strong start to the year but also heightened expectations for key innovative brands including Experior, Bovaer, Credelio Quattro, and Zenrelia.

Despite facing cannibalization and competitive pressures that have led to lower projections for Elanco’s existing prescription and over-the-counter parasiticide portfolio, the company’s innovation sales brands are expected to drive growth. The analyst’s report indicates a belief in the company’s ability to navigate market challenges with its newer products. InvestingPro analysis shows the company maintains a strong financial position with a current ratio of 2.71, indicating ample liquidity to support its growth initiatives.

TD Cowen projects an acceleration in Pet Health revenue growth, estimating a 4% increase to $2,220 million, which is a notable improvement from the previously anticipated 2% growth in 2024. Additionally, the Farm Animal revenue forecast has been adjusted to reflect a 1% growth, reaching $2,275 million. This is a positive swing from the prior estimate, which predicted a 2% decline. The revised Farm Animal revenue outlook is buoyed by solid performance in the Ruminants segment and the launch of Experior for heifers.

Elanco’s financial health appears to be on an upward trajectory, with TD Cowen’s revised estimates painting a picture of a company that is successfully leveraging its innovative products to foster growth amid a competitive landscape. InvestingPro analysis reveals additional insights about Elanco’s potential, with over 10 exclusive ProTips and comprehensive valuation metrics available to subscribers through the platform’s detailed Pro Research Report, one of 1,400+ deep-dive analyses offered to help investors make informed decisions.

In other recent news, Elanco Animal Health reported a strong performance for the first quarter of 2025, exceeding expectations with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.37, compared to the forecasted $0.31. The company’s revenue reached $1.19 billion, surpassing the anticipated $1.17 billion. Following these results, Stifel analysts raised their price target for Elanco shares from $13 to $15, maintaining a Buy rating. The analysts cited Elanco’s strong quarterly performance and forward-looking 2025 guidance as key reasons for the upgrade.

Elanco’s product Credelio Quattro is gaining traction in the companion animal market, contributing to the company’s growth. Additionally, the company raised its full-year revenue guidance, attributing the adjustment to favorable currency exchange rates. The Farm Animal division also showed positive signs, with Experior gaining traction and Bovaer highlighted as a longer-term opportunity. Analysts at Stifel predict substantial growth for Elanco, expecting earnings per share growth to outpace EBITDA growth due to debt reduction efforts.

Overall, Elanco’s strategic focus on innovation and product development, along with successful product launches, has been pivotal in driving its recent financial performance. The company’s diverse portfolio and robust market presence have helped maintain a competitive edge, despite a slight decrease in reported revenue compared to the previous year.

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