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On Thursday, Telsey Advisory Group adjusted its outlook on Zevia PBC (NYSE:ZVIA) shares, reducing the 12-month price target from $4.00 to $3.00. Despite the price target cut, the firm maintained a Market Perform rating on the beverage company’s stock. According to InvestingPro data, the stock has experienced significant volatility, dropping 36% in the past week, though it remains up 108% over the last six months. InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis suggests the stock is currently fairly valued.
The decision to lower the price target was accompanied by a statement from Telsey, which noted Zevia’s increased efforts in product innovation, including the introduction of new flavors like strawberry lemon burst, seasonal items, exclusive retailer products, and an expansion in variety packs. Additionally, Zevia is ramping up its marketing activities, expanding direct store delivery distribution, and aiming to improve profitability through productivity initiatives expected to save approximately $15 million. InvestingPro data shows the company maintains a strong liquidity position with a current ratio of 2.56 and holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet.
Zevia’s recent product rollouts have reached over 4,300 Walmart (NYSE:WMT) stores, and the company is set to expand its product assortment at Albertsons (NYSE:ACI) within the first quarter of 2025. The company anticipates these efforts will contribute positively to its financial results as the year progresses and is projecting an inflection to profitability on an adjusted EBITDA basis in 2026. For deeper insights into Zevia’s financial health and growth prospects, InvestingPro subscribers can access comprehensive analysis, including 8 additional ProTips and detailed financial metrics in the Pro Research Report.
Despite these initiatives, the analyst at Telsey pointed out that Zevia is still working to recover from account losses and supply chain costs incurred in the previous year. While acknowledging the direction of Zevia’s strategic measures, Telsey expressed a cautious stance, emphasizing the need to observe tangible benefits from these initiatives and a stabilization in sales before regaining confidence in the company’s growth narrative.
The competitive nature of the industry was also cited as a factor in the decision to maintain the Market Perform rating. The revised price target is based on applying an enterprise value to sales multiple of approximately 1.0x to Telsey’s lowered 2025 sales forecast of $160 million for Zevia.
In other recent news, Zevia PBC reported its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, revealing a larger-than-expected loss and revenue shortfall. The company posted an EPS of -$0.09, which missed the forecast of -$0.06, while revenue reached $39.5 million, falling short of the expected $40.59 million. Despite these challenges, Zevia achieved a record high gross margin of 49.2%. For the full year, Zevia’s net sales were $155.1 million, a decrease of 6.8% year-over-year, though the net loss improved to $23.8 million from $28.3 million in 2023.
Zevia has been expanding its presence in more Walmart locations, indicating potential growth opportunities. The company is also focused on new product offerings to drive future sales. Analysts have noted that Zevia’s ongoing net loss, although improved, highlights the challenges it faces in achieving profitability. Looking ahead, Zevia projects 2025 net sales between $158 million and $163 million, with an adjusted EBITDA loss of $8 million to $11 million. The company aims to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA by 2026, emphasizing increased marketing investments and a focus on distribution and brand awareness.
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