Telsey maintains Home Depot Outperform rating and $455 target

Published 14/05/2025, 14:36
Telsey maintains Home Depot Outperform rating and $455 target

On Wednesday, Telsey Advisory Group upheld its positive stance on Home Depot stock (NYSE:HD), reiterating an Outperform rating and a price target of $455.00. This target aligns with the broader analyst consensus, as InvestingPro data shows analyst targets ranging from $297 to $484, with the stock currently trading at $371.33. The research firm’s analyst, Joseph Feldman, provided insights into the company’s future performance, expecting Home Depot to witness a rebound in comparable store sales growth in the current year. This projection is based on relatively easier comparisons to previous years, with negative growth recorded in 2024 and 2023, and a positive figure in 2022.

Feldman anticipates that consumers will progressively engage in home improvement projects, despite the prevailing high-interest rates. He suggests that rather than waiting for a drop in rates, consumers are likely to adapt and proceed with renovations as they encounter life changes such as family expansions, job relocations, or desires for improved living standards. This trend is expected to be supported by substantial increases in home equity values, which have surged by approximately 50% since 2019, providing homeowners with the financial means to invest in significant remodeling endeavors. The company’s strong market position is reflected in its impressive financial metrics, with InvestingPro data showing a robust revenue of $159.5 billion and a healthy gross profit margin of 33.4%.

Despite this optimistic outlook, Feldman notes that it may take several quarters, extending into the following year, for this growth to firmly establish itself and positively impact Home Depot’s earnings. The forecast acknowledges ongoing macroeconomic pressures and the potential effects of new tariff policies, which could pose challenges in the near term.

Home Depot’s stock performance in the upcoming periods will be closely watched, as the company navigates through these economic conditions and strives to achieve the growth anticipated by Telsey Advisory Group. With a 15-year track record of consecutive dividend increases and a current dividend yield of 2.46%, the company maintains a strong shareholder return profile. Investors and market watchers will be looking for signs of the company’s ability to capitalize on the projected increase in home improvement activities and to overcome the headwinds currently facing the retail sector. For deeper insights into Home Depot’s valuation and growth prospects, InvestingPro subscribers can access comprehensive analysis and additional ProTips in the detailed Pro Research Report.

In other recent news, Home Depot has been actively engaging in several strategic initiatives and developments. UBS analysts have maintained a Buy rating for Home Depot with a price target of $475, following discussions with top executives about the company’s strategic direction and market conditions. Despite the challenges posed by tariffs and a fluctuating economic environment, Home Depot’s leadership expressed confidence in achieving mid- to high-single-digit earnings growth over time. In a related development, Home Depot has nominated Asha Sharma, Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT)’s corporate vice president, for a position on its Board of Directors, highlighting the company’s focus on integrating advanced technology and AI into its operations.

Furthermore, Home Depot is leveraging generative AI to enhance its online shopping experience, aiming to provide customers with improved product inquiries and project assistance. The company plans to expand its online features to include design ideas and product comparisons, striving to replicate its in-store customer service online. Meanwhile, Truist Securities has raised concerns about the impact of tariffs on retailers like Target (NYSE:TGT), which may face significant pressure on sales and margins, contrasting with Home Depot’s mixed outlook in the face of lower consumer confidence and interest rates. These developments underscore Home Depot’s strategic efforts to navigate current market challenges and capitalize on future opportunities.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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