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On Wednesday, Telsey Advisory Group maintained its Outperform rating on Home Depot stock (NYSE:HD) with a stable price target of $455.00. The firm’s analyst Joseph Feldman provided insights into the company’s performance, noting a mix of challenges and strengths in the first quarter of 2025. Home Depot’s sales, operating margin, and earnings per share did not meet expectations, but the company showed resilience with several positive indicators. According to InvestingPro data, the company maintains a "GOOD" overall financial health score, with particularly strong profitability metrics. While 10 analysts have recently revised earnings downward, the stock currently trades slightly above its Fair Value.
Despite a slow start in February with comparable store sales down 3.6%, Home Depot saw improvement as the weather improved and spring arrived, with March and April comps rising 0.6% and 1.1%, respectively. The company also experienced a robust start to the second quarter, buoyed by a strong customer response to its Spring Black Friday events.
Another highlight was the increase in customer traffic by 2%, and a 0.3% rise in big-ticket sales, those over $1,000, marking the second consecutive quarter of growth in this area. Home Depot’s professional customer segment, which accounts for approximately half of its sales, continued to outperform the do-it-yourself segment.
Home Depot appears to be well-positioned to manage external challenges, as Feldman noted the company does not anticipate significant impacts from tariffs and does not foresee a need to raise prices. The retailer has diversified its sourcing, with more than 50% of purchases made in the United States and no other country expected to represent more than 10% by 2026.
In a positive sign for investors, Home Depot has reaffirmed its annual guidance for both sales and profits for 2025. The company’s core customer base, characterized by an average income of around $110,000 and an approximately 80% homeownership rate, remains one of the strongest consumer segments in the economy, according to Feldman’s analysis. For deeper insights into Home Depot’s financial health and growth prospects, including exclusive ProTips and comprehensive valuation metrics, visit InvestingPro.
In other recent news, Home Depot reported its Q1 2025 earnings, revealing a revenue of $39.9 billion, which exceeded analysts’ forecasts of $39.25 billion. However, the company’s earnings per share (EPS) slightly missed expectations, coming in at $3.56 compared to the projected $3.59. Despite the minor EPS miss, the revenue beat indicates strong operational execution, supported by robust sales in key product categories and strategic initiatives. In light of these results, DA Davidson adjusted its outlook on Home Depot, reducing the price target from $470 to $450 while maintaining a Buy rating. Analyst Michael Baker noted Home Depot’s two consecutive quarters of positive comparable store sales, suggesting the company is positioned to leverage benefits from an improved economic environment. Additionally, Home Depot has been focusing on supply chain diversification and innovation, which could enhance its competitive position. The company also anticipates total sales growth of approximately 2.8% and a slight decline in diluted EPS by about 3% for the fiscal year. These developments reflect Home Depot’s ongoing efforts to adapt to market conditions and maintain its strong performance in the home improvement sector.
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