Telsey raises Restoration Hardware price target to $280

Published 03/04/2025, 10:56
Telsey raises Restoration Hardware price target to $280

On Thursday, Telsey Advisory Group adjusted its price target for Restoration Hardware (NYSE:RH) stock, increasing it to $280 from the previous $240, while maintaining an Outperform rating. The revision followed the company’s fourth-quarter earnings for fiscal year 2024 and its forward-looking guidance. Currently trading at $249.35, RH commands a significant P/E ratio of 70.9x, according to InvestingPro data, which also indicates the stock is currently overvalued based on its proprietary Fair Value model.

Restoration Hardware reported earnings that did not meet market expectations for both the fourth quarter of 2024 and the guidance for the first quarter of 2025, as well as for the full year of 2025. The company had experienced robust demand leading up to its December 12 earnings report, but observed a slowdown in the latter half of December. Despite this, demand appeared to stabilize in January, showing a 19% increase. InvestingPro analysis reveals the company maintains a gross profit margin of 44.2%, though its overall financial health score is currently rated as WEAK.

The home furnishings retailer offered a revenue growth forecast for 2025 ranging between 10% and 13%, which was below the 14.2% consensus estimated by FactSet. Nonetheless, the company’s operating margin guidance for 2025 stood between 14% and 15%, aligning with expectations and closely matching the FactSet consensus of 14.8%.

A notable concern was the negative free cash flow in the fourth quarter of 2024, driven by a year-over-year inventory increase of 35%. This inventory swell led to a reduction in Restoration Hardware’s cash balance, which stood at $30 million at the end of the period. Despite these challenges, Telsey’s revised price target suggests a confidence in the company’s long-term performance. InvestingPro data shows the company maintains a current ratio of 1.43, indicating its liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, though it operates with significant debt burden. Subscribers can access 8 additional key ProTips and a comprehensive Pro Research Report for deeper insights into RH’s financial position.

In other recent news, RH announced its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, which fell short of analyst expectations. The company reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.58, missing the forecasted $1.89, and revenue of $812.4 million, below the anticipated $828.24 million. Despite these results, RH achieved an 18% increase in revenue on a comparable 13-week basis and a 57% rise in adjusted operating income. The company is projecting fiscal year 2025 revenue growth of 10-13% and is expanding its manufacturing capabilities in North America. RH is also navigating a challenging housing market, with CEO Gary Friedman emphasizing the company’s strategic focus on international expansion and resilience during difficult times. Additionally, the company plans to open several new design and concept galleries as part of its growth strategy. Analysts have noted the company’s ongoing product transformation and platform expansion efforts.

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