Trade policy risks noted Outperform on Polaris stock underscores long-term value

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 30/12/2024, 15:58
Trade policy risks noted Outperform on Polaris stock underscores long-term value
PII
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Monday, Baird analyst adjusted the price target for Polaris Industries (NYSE:PII) stock to $72 from the previous $84, while still maintaining an Outperform rating. Currently trading at $57.43, near its 52-week low of $55.55, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is undervalued.

Kennison's assessment followed recent checks with 37 dealers, revealing significant challenges within the powersports industry. Consumers dealing with mounting debt and incomes that have not kept pace with their monthly expenses have shown little to no interest in powersports products.

Kennison noted that despite Polaris' efforts to reduce dealer inventory by 15-20%, further reductions seem necessary. With revenue expected to decline by 21% this year according to InvestingPro data, the analyst's findings underscore a tough market environment, where consumers are hitting a debt wall and dealers are struggling to stay afloat. The situation is further complicated by trade policies that pose a risk to global supply chains.

In his commentary, Kennison highlighted the bleak sentiment among dealers, with one stating, "Nothing is working. Simply no customers. Zero interest in this stuff today." This reflects the broader issues facing the industry, where consumer spending is being squeezed, and interest in discretionary items like powersports vehicles is waning.

Polaris' strategy to decrease dealer inventory aligns with the current market conditions, but the analyst suggests that even more aggressive measures may be required. Kennison previously cautioned investors in October about the potential risks, especially for those with short-term investment horizons, as the economic pressures on consumers and dealers persist.

The report from Baird provides a snapshot of the current challenges faced by Polaris Industries and the powersports sector at large. It indicates a cautious outlook for the company as it navigates through a period marked by consumer debt issues and uncertain trade policies.

Despite these challenges, InvestingPro highlights Polaris's impressive 28-year dividend growth streak, with a current yield of 4.6%. Subscribers can access 10+ additional ProTips and comprehensive analysis through the Pro Research Report, offering deeper insights into the company's financial health and future prospects.

In other recent news, Polaris Inc. has made significant amendments to its financial agreements, enhancing its revolving credit facility and modifying its term loan facility. The transportation equipment leader has also revised its Master Note Purchase Agreement, adjusting covenants and interest rates.

These changes are expected to provide Polaris with enhanced financial flexibility. Simultaneously, Polaris has announced the retirement of Stephen L. Eastman, the President of Parts, Garments, and Accessories, who will continue in a strategic advisory role until his complete departure in December 2025.

Furthermore, several analyst firms have adjusted their price targets for Polaris. DA Davidson reduced its target to $84, maintaining a Buy rating, while KeyBanc cut its target to $80, keeping an Overweight rating. RBC Capital Markets also lowered its target to $73, sustaining a Sector Perform rating. Meanwhile, the company has been focusing on operational efficiency, surpassing its initial target of $150 million in savings and reaching approximately $280 million, with the expectation that 70-75% of these savings will be permanent.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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