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On Wednesday, Jefferies maintained a Buy rating on TransUnion (NYSE:TRU) shares but lowered the stock's price target from $125.00 to $115.00. Currently trading at $89.86, the stock shows significant potential according to InvestingPro analysis, which indicates the company is slightly undervalued.
The adjustment follows a review of the company's expected performance for the fourth quarter and the impact of foreign exchange headwinds on revenue. Despite these factors, analysts at Jefferies anticipate TransUnion's results to align with the higher end of the fourth-quarter guidance previously provided by the company's management.
The revised revenue estimate for the third quarter stands at $1,029 million, a $4 million decrease from previous forecasts, primarily due to the incremental impact of foreign exchange. TransUnion has maintained strong momentum with actual revenue growth of 8.53% over the last twelve months, and growth expectations on a constant currency basis remain unchanged at 8.3% year-over-year. The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimate has been slightly reduced to $0.95, down from $0.96.
Jefferies' revised revenue estimate hovers near the top of the management's guidance range of $1,014 million to $1,034 million. Meanwhile, the adjusted EPS estimate sits at the midpoint of the company's provided range of $0.92 to $0.98. These figures position Jefferies' expectations in line with the consensus for both revenues and adjusted EPS.
The analysis by Jefferies suggests that, while lenders are exercising caution, there has not been a significant shift in credit creation compared to the previous quarter. Early mortgage volumes in the fourth quarter of 2024 are believed to have contributed to TransUnion's growth, despite a slowdown as the quarter progressed. For deeper insights into TransUnion's performance metrics and future prospects, InvestingPro subscribers can access 12 additional exclusive ProTips and comprehensive financial analysis, including detailed revenue forecasts and valuation metrics.
In other recent news, TransUnion has made strategic financial maneuvers, refinancing a significant portion of its debt. The consumer credit reporting company has established new term loans totaling approximately $1.885 billion and refinanced part of its existing loans. This restructuring is part of TransUnion's broader efforts to manage its capital structure efficiently.
TransUnion has also reported robust growth, with a 12% increase in Q3 revenue and a projected 14% improvement in full-year earnings per share. Analyst firms Baird and Stifel have responded positively, raising TransUnion's stock target to $130 and $120 respectively, while B.Riley has maintained a Neutral rating.
In addition, TransUnion announced board changes and an executive retirement. William P. Bosworth, a Board of Directors member, will resign at the end of 2024, and the Board will reduce its size from 11 to 10 members starting 2025. Executive Vice President and Chief Global Solutions Officer, Timothy J. Martin, plans to retire in September 2026.
Lastly, TransUnion's ongoing transformation program is expected to yield $200 million in free cash flow benefits by 2026, with capital expenditures projected to decrease to 8% of revenues for 2024 and 2025. These recent developments reflect TransUnion's commitment to its long-term financial obligations and operational efficiency.
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