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On Thursday, Citizens JMP analyst Aaron Hecht increased the price target for Travel + Leisure (NYSE:TNL) to $60, up from the previous $55, while maintaining a Market Outperform rating. The stock, which has gained 46% over the past year and is trading near its 52-week high of $58.95, received this boost following Travel + Leisure’s fourth-quarter earnings. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $252 million, surpassing both Citizens’ and the consensus estimates of $248 million. This performance was attributed to higher net revenue and a slightly improved margin. According to InvestingPro, the company maintains a perfect Piotroski Score of 9, indicating strong financial health.
Travel + Leisure also provided its initial guidance for 2025, which suggests a robust Vacation Ownership Interest (VOI) sales growth of 7%, highlighting the sustained consumer demand. Despite a minor decline in tour growth, affected by challenges in the Las Vegas market and some underperforming marketing channels, the company’s Vacation Ownership Interest (VOI) sales remained strong at $3,284 in the fourth quarter of 2024. Management anticipates a steady rebound in tour growth to a mid-single-digit level by 2025. The company’s financial stability is further evidenced by its impressive dividend track record, with InvestingPro data showing 18 consecutive years of dividend maintenance and a current yield of 3.46%.
The analyst pointed out the continuous appeal of the timeshare product to consumers, which, when combined with Travel + Leisure’s stock repurchases and dividend increases, presents an attractive investment opportunity. The new $60 price target is based on a 7.5x forward earnings multiple, which is modestly below the historical group average of 8x.
Hecht’s comments underscore the company’s ability to deliver value through its timeshare products and financial strategies. The analyst’s outlook reflects confidence in the company’s future performance and its potential for growth in the coming year.
In other recent news, Travel + Leisure Co reported its fourth-quarter 2024 financial results, surpassing analyst expectations with an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.72, compared to the forecasted $1.62. The company also exceeded revenue forecasts, reporting $971 million against the expected $957.63 million. Despite the positive earnings surprise, the stock saw a slight decline in pre-market trading. The company reported a 5% increase in Q4 Adjusted EBITDA, highlighting strong performance in its vacation ownership business. Looking ahead, Travel + Leisure Co projects an Adjusted EBITDA between $955 million and $985 million for 2025. Analysts from firms such as Bank of America and Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) discussed various aspects of the company’s performance, including consumer strength and financing trends. Additionally, the company plans to focus on expanding its owner base and enhancing its product offerings, including the launch of Sports Illustrated sales. These recent developments reflect Travel + Leisure Co’s ongoing strategic initiatives and market positioning.
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