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Investing.com - UBS initiated coverage on Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd (NSE:BHEL:IN) with a Buy rating and a price target of INR340.00 on Monday.
The investment bank cited the reacceleration of thermal power orders and potential for profit and loss acceleration as key factors behind its bullish outlook for the leading thermal power equipment original equipment manufacturer.
UBS highlighted the Indian government’s target of adding 80GW in new thermal capacity by FY32, which implies approximately 35GW of orders between FY25-28. With BHEL commanding an 85% market share from FY17-25, UBS believes the company is best positioned to capitalize on this growth.
Despite the increasing share of renewables in India’s energy mix, UBS expects thermal power to remain relevant for load balancing and grid stabilization. The firm projects BHEL’s capacity utilization could accelerate to around 40%, more than double its current utilization, based on 6-8GW of annual commissioning.
UBS forecasts this increased utilization will lead to operating leverage and a six-fold increase in FY28 EBITDA compared to FY25, with the bank’s FY25-28 earnings estimates running 9-20% above consensus, suggesting the market underappreciates the potential bottom-line impact of rising orders.
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