Wolfe Research upgrades Apartment Investment Management stock to Outperform

Published 04/11/2025, 09:20
Wolfe Research upgrades Apartment Investment Management stock to Outperform

Investing.com - Wolfe Research upgraded Apartment Investment Management (NYSE:AIV) from Peerperform to Outperform on Tuesday, setting a price target of $10.00. The stock currently trades at $5.27, near its 52-week low of $5.24, representing a potential 90% upside to Wolfe’s target. According to InvestingPro data, AIV has declined 13.24% year-to-date.

The upgrade implies a potential year-end total return of 19% for the real estate investment trust, which currently pays no dividend. Wolfe Research’s price target is based on a takeout value of remaining properties at a 6% capitalization rate, net of a 4% acquisition cost of asset value.

The firm described its 6% cap rate assumption as a "conservative estimate of market cap rates," noting that CBRE had previously placed 6% at the high end of the range of cap rates by market at the beginning of the year. Wolfe Research also referenced AvalonBay’s recent statement that market cap rates were in the high 4% to 5% range.

Wolfe Research indicated it had considered upgrading Apartment Investment Management for some time, particularly since the company announced a strategic review on January 9. The firm had previously found reasons to delay an upgrade. InvestingPro data shows AIV operates with a significant debt burden, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 13.42, and its overall financial health score is rated as "WEAK."

The research firm ultimately determined that the obstacles to investment in Apartment Investment Management were "not insurmountable," leading to Tuesday’s rating change. Investors should note that AIV is scheduled to report earnings on November 10, which could provide more clarity on the company’s strategic direction. InvestingPro offers additional insights with more than 10 ProTips and extensive financial metrics to help investors make informed decisions.

In other recent news, Apartment Investment and Management Company announced the sale of four properties in suburban Boston for $490 million. Following this transaction, the company declared a special dividend of $2.23 per share, distributing approximately $330 million to shareholders. The special dividend is set to be paid on October 15, 2025, to stockholders of record as of September 30, 2025. Additionally, Apartment Investment and Management Company has entered into a definitive agreement to sell five apartment properties in suburban Boston for $740 million. This transaction involves an affiliate of Harbor Group International, LLC, and comprises 2,719 units. The buyer has completed due diligence with a $20 million non-refundable deposit. Four of these properties are expected to close during the third quarter of 2025, while the final property is anticipated to close in the fourth quarter. These developments reflect significant activity in the company’s asset management strategy.

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