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Golden year for precious metals as 2019 sees glistening run

Published 31/12/2019, 20:09
Golden year for precious metals as 2019 sees glistening run
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* Palladium extends gains into the fourth straight year

* Platinum on track for best year since 2009

* Gold set for biggest yearly gain since 2010

* Bullion to continue its bullish trend into 2020

* Graphic: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/editorcharts/GLOBAL%20PRECIOUS/0H001QXSMB5Q/index.html

By Swati Verma

Dec 31 (Reuters) - Gold prices are set for their strongest

annual increase since 2010, as worries over global economic

health triggered a surge of interest in precious metals, while

palladium soared more than 50% to record highs thanks to supply

shortages.

Silver and platinum, which like gold are often seen as safe

investments in uncertain times, also saw their largest annual

gains in several years.

Many analysts say prices are likely to rise further in 2020,

with shaky growth and global stock markets potentially looking

unsustainable at record highs.

Central banks are also buying more gold and have flipped

from tightening to loosening monetary policy, pushing interest

rates and bond yields down and making non-yielding precious

metals more attractive to investors.

"An environment of low rates, persistent macro uncertainty,

and elevated equities makes a case for holding gold as a hedge.

This view could likely drive demand for gold higher into 2020

and lend support to the current medium-term uptrend," said

Stephen Innes, a market strategist at AxiTrader.

While the United States and China cooled their trade war

earlier this month, several issues remain unresolved and gold

should perform well if dollar weakness plays out in 2020, he

added. USD/

Spot gold XAU= is up more than 18% in 2019 as of 1837 GMT

and at $1,519.41 an ounce is pushing back towards a six-year

high of $1,557 reached in early September. Holdings of gold in

exchange traded funds (ETFs) also rose by around 14% this year.

GOL/ETF

Spot silver XAG= , rising in gold's wake, is up about 15%

in 2019 at $17.85 an ounce, its strongest performance since

2016.

Platinum XPT= at $962.50 an ounce was 21.6% higher this

year, its biggest rise since 2009.

But palladium XPD= continued to stand out, soaring more

than $700 an ounce this year in its fourth consecutive annual

gain. It touched a record high of $1,998.43 an ounce on Dec. 17

and on Tuesday cost $1,938.

The metal is mainly used in car exhaust systems to

neutralise emissions, and stricter environmental regulations are

adding to demand.

Since palladium is produced as a by-product of nickel and

platinum mining, supply has been unable to keep up, with further

shortfalls expected in the early 2020s.

"The market has been in a structural deficit for a few years

now and that's expected to persist," said Ryan McKay, a

commodity strategist at TD Securities.

"We saw deficit this year, even though the auto market has

been in terrible shape. On top of that we have increased

environmental regulations globally. That contributes to

increased PGM loadings in the auto-catalysts."

2019 Precious Metals Performance https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/editorcharts/GLOBAL%20PRECIOUS/0H001QXSMB5Q/index.html

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