Oil hovers near 3-month high on trade optimism, supply cuts

Published 17/12/2019, 02:51
© Reuters.  Oil hovers near 3-month high on trade optimism, supply cuts
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* U.S.-China 'Phase One' deal done - White House adviser

Kudlow

* JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs revise oil price forecasts

upwards

* U.S. crude stocks likely dipped last week - Reuters poll

* Coming up: API inventory data at 2130 GMT

By Jessica Jaganathan

SINGAPORE, Dec 17 (Reuters) - Oil prices trickled a fraction

lower on Tuesday but remained near a three-month high as

investors kept the faith with hopes that a fully fledged

U.S.-China trade deal is in the pipeline and set to stoke oil

demand in the world's biggest economies.

Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 had slipped by three cents

to $65.31 a barrel by 0122 GMT, while West Texas Intermediate

crude CLc1 was down 4 cents to $60.17 a barrel.

Under a partial trade agreement announced last week,

Washington will reduce some tariffs on Chinese imports in

exchange for Chinese purchases of agricultural, manufactured and

energy products increasing by about $200 billion over the next

two years.

"While the partial trade deal leaves most of the tariffs in

place, it marks a turning point in the dispute which will

eventually lead to fully fledged agreement," analysts from ANZ

Bank said in a note on Tuesday.

The so-called 'Phase One' trade deal between both countries

has been "absolutely completed", Larry Kudlow, a top White House

adviser said on Monday, adding that U.S. exports to China will

double under the agreement. The agreement is yet to be signed and several Chinese

officials told Reuters the wording of the agreement remained a

delicate issue, with care was needed to ensure expressions used

in text did not re-escalate tensions and deepen differences.

JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs have revised their oil price

forecasts for the next year upwards, with an OPEC-led agreement

to curb output further dovetailing with the improving trade

outlook between the U.S. and China. Lower supply next year due to a planned cut by the

Organization of the Petroleum of Exporting Countries (OPEC) and

associated producers like Russia - a grouping known as 'OPEC+' -

and stronger economic growth expected because of the improved

trade outlook between United States and China will combine to

tighten the oil supply-demand balance next year, analysts from

JP Morgan said.

Also supporting prices, a preliminary Reuters poll ahead of

reports from the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the

Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed expectations that

U.S. crude oil inventories likely fell last week.

Still, U.S. oil output from seven major shale formations is

expected to rise about 29,000 barrels per day (bpd) in January

to a record 9.14 million bpd, the EIA said in a monthly forecast

on Monday.

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