50% Off! Beat the market in 2025 with InvestingProCLAIM SALE

OPEC cuts: Brent seen at $95 despite cautious market reaction - UBS

Published 05/06/2023, 14:00
© Reuters.
LCO
-
CL
-

Investing.com - Brent and WTI are registering rises of between 1% and 1.5% this Monday with OPEC+ extending its agreement on crude supply restrictions through 2024 and Saudi Arabia announcing production cuts of 1 million barrels per day (bpd) to a total of 9 million bpd.

In what can be considered the largest output revision in recent years, the cartel now has cuts in place for 3.66 million bpd, equivalent to 3.6% of global demand, including 2 million bpd agreed last year and voluntary cuts of 1.66 million bpd decided in April.

Market reaction was initially very positive but then retreated due to assessments made on the economic context and the demand capacity of major importers.

For Swiss bank UBS, today's performance of black gold does not change its long-term outlook, seen at $95 by the end of the year.

"Despite the modest market reaction, we take this as a very bullish outcome. The Saudi 1mbpd cut in July can be extended if needed, and the tone at the press conference suggested producer unity. We believe oil demand remains solid, and that the voluntary production cuts should help tighten the market into 2H," UBS analysts wrote in their Daily Europe note.

The bank maintains oil among its preferred asset classes despite a 9% year-to-date decline in the North Sea contract, and expects "Brent crude at USD 95/bbl by end-2023."

(Translated from Italian)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.