Barclays boosts Elastic shares to overweight, citing buying opportunity after valuation reset

Published 07/10/2024, 10:36
Barclays boosts Elastic shares to overweight, citing buying opportunity after valuation reset

On Monday, Barclays made an optimistic move on Elastic NV (NYSE:ESTC), raising the stock's rating from Equalweight to Overweight and increasing the price target to $95 from $90. The adjustment follows a period where Elastic experienced negative impacts from changes in its Go-To-Market (GTM) strategy, which initially surprised investors and affected the company's share price.

The firm's analyst pointed out that Elastic's valuation had been reset to 5 times CY25E EV/Sales, which is below the average of its peers, suggesting that the current lower share price presents a buying opportunity. The analyst emphasized that while GTM headwinds are usually short-lived, they are expected to contribute to better growth in the future.

The report further noted that the positive effects of the GTM adjustments should become evident in the upcoming quarters. Additionally, there is an anticipation of increased momentum around Elastic's artificial intelligence offerings, particularly in hybrid search technology.

Barclays' revised price target of $95 reflects confidence in Elastic's potential for a rebound. The firm's analysis indicates that the company is poised for growth and that the current market conditions offer a favorable entry point for investors.

The upgrade and new price target are based on the belief that Elastic's strategic changes, although initially challenging, are set to enhance the company's growth trajectory and market position in the near term.

In other recent news, Elastic NV continues to make significant strides in the market. Guggenheim has maintained its Buy rating on Elastic, forecasting substantial benefits from the company's widespread adoption expected to begin in 2025.

This optimism is supported by the company's anticipated revenue growth in 2025, driven by its performance in search, observability, and Security Information and Event Management markets. However, Canaccord Genuity retained a Buy rating on Elastic but lowered the price target to $110, citing near-term sales challenges.

In recent developments, Elastic's shareholders approved key resolutions including executive appointments and financial authorizations. The company's Dutch statutory annual accounts for the fiscal year ended April 30, 2024, were also adopted. Additionally, Elastic's board of directors received authorization to issue ordinary shares and grant rights to acquire ordinary shares.

On the product development front, Elastic has integrated its Elasticsearch Open Inference API with Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL)'s Gemini Developer API, enhancing its advanced search retrieval features. The company also partnered with Arrow Electronics (NYSE:ARW) to extend the reach of its security, observability, and search solutions across North America. Elastic's Search AI Platform became available within the AWS Marketplace for the U.S. Intelligence Community.

InvestingPro Insights

Elastic NV's recent performance and financial metrics provide additional context to Barclays' optimistic outlook. According to InvestingPro data, Elastic has shown strong revenue growth of 18.72% over the last twelve months, with a gross profit margin of 74.05%, indicating a robust business model. This aligns with Barclays' expectation of better growth in the future.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that 20 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, supporting the positive sentiment expressed in the Barclays report. Additionally, the company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which could provide financial flexibility as it navigates its GTM strategy changes.

Despite the recent price decline of 31.22% over the past three months, Elastic has shown a strong return of 12.65% in the last month. This recent uptick could be an early indicator of the market recognizing the potential that Barclays has identified.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of Elastic's prospects, InvestingPro offers 10 additional tips, providing a comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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