Citi cuts Propertyguru to neutral rating

Published 19/08/2024, 16:46
Citi cuts Propertyguru to neutral rating

Propertyguru Group Ltd (NYSE: PGRU) experienced a shift in its stock rating as Citi moved its recommendation from Buy to Neutral. This adjustment comes with an increase in the price target to $6.70, up from the previous $6.00. The re-evaluation follows the company's announcement on August 16 regarding a going-private transaction, which aligns with earlier media speculation from late May.

The transaction's proposed equity value is approximately $1.1 billion, translating to a merger consideration of $6.70 per share.

This price represents multiples of 9x and 8x the expected 2024 and 2025 sales, respectively. It also indicates a 33-35% discount compared to the valuation of global online property classified platforms. Citi acknowledges the discount as reasonable, taking into account Propertyguru's presence in emerging markets, despite facing short-term challenges and having $1.3 in cash per share.

The board of directors has unanimously recommended the going-private deal, and it has garnered backing from three major shareholders—TPG, KKR, and REA.

However, with an expected total return of approximately 2%, the firm has downgraded the stock to Neutral from Buy, indicating that the potential privatization benefits may already be reflected in the current stock price.

Propertyguru is scheduled to release its second-quarter financial results for 2024 before the market opens on September 4. Investors and stakeholders will be watching closely, as this report will provide further insights into the company's performance and the potential impact of the going-private transaction on its financial outlook.

PropertyGuru Group, a prominent online real estate company, reported a revenue increase of 12% in its First Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call, reaching $37 million. The company also saw a solid double-digit growth in its adjusted EBITDA margin, indicating effective cost management across its marketplaces.

Despite challenges in the Singapore and Malaysian property markets, PropertyGuru maintains a robust cash position of $300 million and anticipates full-year revenue to range from $165 million to $180 million, with an adjusted EBITDA between $22 million and $26 million.

In addition to its financial performance, PropertyGuru also introduced new AI video features, professional agent verification, and data and software solutions, demonstrating its commitment to innovation.

Despite a slow start in the Singapore property market and housing affordability issues in Malaysia, PropertyGuru achieved a record high EBITDA margin in Singapore and saw signs of recovery in Vietnam. However, the company acknowledged that gaining market traction in Australia is taking longer than expected.

InvestingPro Insights

Following Citi's recent reevaluation of Propertyguru Group Ltd (NYSE: PGRU), it's notable that the company holds a strong liquidity position, with cash reserves surpassing its debt levels. This is a positive aspect for stakeholders considering the going-private transaction, as it suggests a solid financial foundation. An InvestingPro Tip highlights this strength, indicating that the company's liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, which may provide some comfort to investors during the transition period.

The company's stock has also seen a significant return over the last week, with a 21.07% price total return, and an impressive 57.07% return over the past year. This performance is captured in another InvestingPro Tip, which could be a contributing factor to the raised price target by Citi. Despite these strong returns, analysts are not expecting the company to be profitable this year, which may have influenced Citi's decision to downgrade the stock to Neutral.

From an investment valuation standpoint, Propertyguru's market capitalization stands at $1.07 billion, reflecting the proposed equity value of the going-private transaction. The company's revenue growth has been positive, with a 9.76% increase over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. However, with a negative P/E ratio of -120.57 and an adjusted P/E ratio for the same period at -224.14, the valuation metrics suggest that the market is pricing in future growth expectations rather than current profitability.

For investors seeking more detailed analysis and additional InvestingPro Tips, there are 10 more tips available on the platform, which can provide further guidance on Propertyguru's financial health and stock performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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