Citi raises MeridianLink stock target on updated model

Published 10/10/2024, 11:28
Citi raises MeridianLink stock target on updated model

Citi has maintained its Neutral rating on MeridianLink (NYSE: MLNK) but raised its price target to $22 from $20.

The adjustment follows a review of the company's recent financial disclosures and earnings for the quarter ending June 2024.

The new target reflects an updated cash flow and multiple analyses, factoring in a reduced risk-free rate and improved market sentiment towards the stability of mortgage-related volumes.

The revised outlook comes as analysts see potential for a recovery in the mortgage sector as the current rate-cutting cycle progresses.

MeridianLink, which provides technology solutions for the financial services industry, is positioned to benefit from the growing trend towards lending digitization. Despite the positive outlook on the sector's growth, the flow-through from lower interest rates may require time to materialize fully.

Citi's analysis indicates a possibility of better revenue outcomes for MeridianLink, given the industry's secular growth trajectory. However, the firm emphasizes the need for evidence of enhanced top-line stability and clearer visibility towards higher growth. Additionally, progress on company-specific metrics, such as client growth, remains a focal point for the analysts.

While the price target increase to $22 suggests a certain level of confidence in MeridianLink's prospects, the Neutral rating indicates that Citi advises a cautious approach until more substantial signs of growth and stability are observed.

In other recent news, MeridianLink made a secondary public offering of 6 million shares, managed by certain Thoma Bravo, L.P. funds. The offering, underwritten by J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, will not financially benefit MeridianLink, as shares are being sold by the managing funds. It also includes an option for the purchase of up to an additional 900,000 shares within a 30-day period.

MeridianLink, which recently appointed Elias Olmeta as its new Chief Financial Officer, reported a 4% year-over-year revenue growth in the second quarter of 2024. The GAAP revenue reached $78.7 million, and the company returned $74.3 million to shareholders through stock repurchases. For the third quarter, MeridianLink anticipates GAAP revenue to range between $78 million and $81 million, with full-year projections of $312 million to $318 million.

Finally, the company has formed a successful partnership with Conductiv, contributing to customer ROI through platform implementation. Despite significant leadership changes and industry challenges, MeridianLink's go-to-market strategy remains unaffected, underscoring the company's commitment to growth.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement Citi's analysis of MeridianLink (NYSE: MLNK), recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context for investors. Despite the company's challenging profitability metrics, with a negative P/E ratio of -36.48 over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, there are signs of potential improvement. An InvestingPro Tip highlights that analysts predict the company will be profitable this year, aligning with Citi's view on the potential for better revenue outcomes.

MeridianLink's revenue growth of 4.31% over the last twelve months demonstrates the company's ability to expand in a challenging environment. This growth, coupled with a strong gross profit margin of 71.52%, suggests that the company has a solid foundation for future profitability if it can manage its costs effectively.

Another InvestingPro Tip notes that management has been aggressively buying back shares, which could indicate confidence in the company's future prospects. This aligns with Citi's increased price target and the potential for industry recovery that the analysts mentioned.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 5 additional tips that could provide further insights into MeridianLink's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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