Deutsche Bank sees PayPal stock upside from new revenue streams and take rate improvements

Published 23/09/2024, 10:34
Deutsche Bank sees PayPal stock upside from new revenue streams and take rate improvements


On Monday, Deutsche Bank maintained a Buy rating on PayPal Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:PYPL) stock and increased the price target to $94 from $74, citing the company's continued business improvements. The new price target represents a significant adjustment and reflects the analyst's confidence in the payment processor's growth trajectory.

The analyst pointed to several quarters of business enhancements, especially in the area of normalized net transaction revenue growth, as a sign of early success from the strategic priorities set by PayPal CEO Alex Chriss.

These improvements are seen as indicators of PayPal's potential for continued growth in profitability and take rates, particularly through its unbranded Payment Service Provider (PSP) business.

Furthermore, the introduction of new revenue streams, such as Fastlane, and efforts to enhance the growth rates of PayPal's Branded business were also highlighted as factors contributing to the positive outlook. The analyst's assessment suggests that these initiatives could lead to an approximate 3-5 percentage point increase in the forecast for transaction revenue growth by the fiscal year 2025.

The decision to raise the price target to $94 is rooted in what Deutsche Bank views as improving fundamentals within PayPal's operations. The analyst expressed optimism about the company's direction and potential for revenue growth, underlining the initiatives undertaken by the management as key drivers for the upgraded price target.

In other recent news, PayPal has been making significant strides in the online payment industry. The company reported an 11% increase in total payment volume and a 9% rise in revenue on a currency-neutral basis in its second-quarter earnings.

Non-GAAP earnings per share also saw a substantial 36% year-over-year increase. However, due to uncertain economic conditions, PayPal is expected to reduce its global workforce by 9%, equating to approximately 2,500 jobs.

PayPal's integration with Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN)'s 'Buy with Prime' service has been viewed as a major development, potentially leading to further acceptance of PayPal's payment solutions on Amazon's platform. Analyst firms Mizuho, Baird, Argus Research, Bernstein, and TD Cowen have expressed confidence in PayPal's future trajectory, either maintaining an outperform rating or upgrading the stock.

In contrast, Goldman Sachs, Jefferies, and BMO Capital have maintained their neutral positions on PayPal. PayPal's recent partnerships, including the introduction of a feature called Fastlane in collaboration with Adyen (AS:ADYEN), have reportedly increased guest checkout conversion rates to over 80% and reduced checkout times by 32%. These are the latest developments for PayPal.


InvestingPro Insights


Following the positive assessment by Deutsche Bank, real-time data from InvestingPro further supports the optimistic outlook for PayPal Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:PYPL). The company's market capitalization stands at a robust $78.47 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the financial services industry. Moreover, PayPal's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is currently at 18.5, which, while indicating a premium valuation, is supported by the company's substantial revenue growth of 8.66% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that PayPal's management has been actively engaging in share buybacks, signaling their confidence in the company's value. Additionally, the stock has experienced a strong return over the last three months, with a 26.65% price total return, demonstrating investor enthusiasm. These insights are particularly relevant as they underscore the company's robust performance and management's strategic actions, which align with the optimistic analysis provided by Deutsche Bank.

For investors seeking more detailed analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on PayPal, including the company's profitability forecasts for the year and its status as a prominent player in the financial services industry. There are a total of 9 InvestingPro Tips available for PayPal, which can be found at InvestingPro, providing a more comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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