JPMorgan raises Pegasystems target to $83 on legal win

Published 30/07/2024, 22:50
JPMorgan raises Pegasystems target to $83 on legal win

On Tuesday, JPMorgan maintained its Overweight rating on Pegasystems (NASDAQ:PEGA) and raised the price target to $83 from $78. This adjustment follows a significant legal development where the Court of Appeals of Virginia overturned a previous $2 billion verdict against Pegasystems. The case has now been sent back for a new trial.

The analyst from JPMorgan noted that while Appian (NASDAQ:APPN) could attempt to appeal the decision to the Supreme Court of Virginia, the likelihood of reinstating the original $2 billion damages seems low. The expectation is that even if Pegasystems were to lose in a future judgment, the damages awarded would be much less than the initial $2 billion.

The reversal of the verdict is seen as a positive outcome for Pegasystems, potentially lifting a major uncertainty that had been weighing on the company's stock. The firm's enterprise value (EV) has remained close to levels seen before the original mid-2022 verdict, despite improvements in the company's growth-plus-margin profile. The improvements have been attributed mainly to free cash flow (FCF) margin rather than accelerated contract value (ACV) growth, which has seen a slight deceleration.

Moreover, JPMorgan highlighted the additional potential for growth through Generative AI, which could serve as a new catalyst for the company. With the legal risks now perceived to be lower and the stock trading at approximately 15 times EV to CY25 unlevered free cash flow (uFCF), JPMorgan views the risk-reward balance for long-term investors in Pegasystems as favorable. The legal development is expected to remove a significant overhang on Pegasystems' stock, providing a clearer outlook for the company's future.

InvestingPro Insights

Following JPMorgan's optimistic take on Pegasystems (NASDAQ:PEGA), InvestingPro data suggests that the company's financial health is robust, with a solid revenue growth of 15.43% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This growth is slightly higher quarter-over-quarter, at 17.73%. Notably, the company's gross profit margin stands at an impressive 74.77%, indicating strong operational efficiency. Meanwhile, the PEG Ratio, which measures the stock's price relative to its earnings growth rate, is relatively low at 0.23, suggesting that Pegasystems may be undervalued based on its near-term earnings growth potential.

From the perspective of InvestingPro Tips, it's worth noting that Pegasystems is expected to have net income growth this year, an important metric for investors looking for profitable companies. Additionally, while 8 analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, the company's stock is trading at a high Price / Book multiple of 13.87, reflecting a premium that investors are willing to pay for its book value. For those interested in further insights, there are 13 additional InvestingPro Tips available, which could provide a more detailed analysis of Pegasystems' financial and market position. To explore these tips and make a more informed investment decision, consider using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription at InvestingPro.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.