Liberty Global stock poised for upside with potential spin-off catalyst says UBS

Published 23/08/2024, 12:32
Liberty Global stock poised for upside with potential spin-off catalyst says UBS

On Friday, UBS has raised the price target for Liberty Global (NASDAQ:LBTYA) to $23.00 from the previous $22.50, while reiterating a Buy rating for the stock.

The adjustment comes as the firm reviews its expectations for Sunrise, a subsidiary of Liberty Global, ahead of its Capital Markets Day on September 9 and its anticipated spin-off in the fourth quarter of 2024.

The firm's analysis included a comprehensive review of the fundamentals of the Swiss market and valuations, assessing the implications for the residual value of Liberty Global post the Sunrise spin-off. UBS suggests that potential divestments or mergers and acquisitions could serve as a catalyst for a revaluation of the company's stock.

Following the release of Liberty Global's second-quarter results, the slight increase in the price target reflects the firm's updated projections. The analyst from UBS indicated that the adjustments made were minor but optimistic, hinting at a favorable outlook for Liberty Global's operations in Switzerland.

The analyst's statement highlighted the strategic moves anticipated by Liberty Global, stating, "Ahead of the Sunrise CMD on 9 September and intended Sunrise spin-off in Q4 2024, we recap our Sunrise assumptions, undertake a deep dive on the fundamentals for the Swiss market, look at Swiss valuations and what this implies for the remaining Liberty Global stub. We think divestments/M&A could be a catalyst for a re-rating. Post Q2 results, we nudge our PT to $23.0 (from $22.5)."

Investors and market watchers will be looking forward to the outcomes of the upcoming Capital Markets Day and the subsequent strategic developments as Liberty Global navigates through the competitive Swiss market and prepares for the Sunrise spin-off.

In other recent news, Liberty Global has been the focus of several financial analyses. Citi resumed coverage on Liberty Global's stock with a Buy rating, seeing potential for significant value revelation due to strategic corporate actions.

They highlighted an upcoming Capital Markets Day and the planned listing of Swiss assets as key events likely to reveal the company's underlying value. The firm also initiated a 90-day positive catalyst watch on the stock.

Simultaneously, Bernstein SocGen Group maintained its Outperform rating on Liberty Global, noting mixed performance in the second quarter. While revenue was soft in certain regions, EBITDA showed strength in the Netherlands. However, the company's Free Cash Flow decreased by 21% year-over-year due to increased capital expenditures.

Moreover, the company reported a robust balance sheet with $3.2 billion in consolidated cash during its second-quarter 2024 earnings call. CEO Mike Fries outlined strategic plans, including the Sunrise spin in Switzerland and a collaborative agreement with Vodafone (NASDAQ:VOD) in the UK.

Despite challenges in the mobile sector, Liberty Global reported positive financial results for VodafoneZiggo and a steady broadband performance. These are among the recent developments that investors should keep an eye on.

InvestingPro Insights

InvestingPro data underscores Liberty Global's compelling financial metrics as the company approaches its Capital Markets Day and the anticipated Sunrise spin-off. With a market cap of $6.97 billion, Liberty Global is trading at a low price-to-book multiple of 0.38 as of the last twelve months leading into Q2 2024, highlighting the potential undervaluation of its assets relative to its market price. Moreover, the company boasts an impressive gross profit margin of 67.19%, reflecting its strong ability to retain earnings after the cost of goods sold.

Two InvestingPro Tips further illuminate the company's strategic financial management and market performance. Liberty Global's management has been actively engaged in share buybacks, an initiative that can signal confidence in the company's future prospects and typically aims to increase shareholder value. Additionally, the company has seen a strong return over the last three months, with a price total return of 16.65%, showcasing its recent positive momentum in the market.

Investors interested in deeper analytics and additional insights can find more InvestingPro Tips on Liberty Global, including analysis on profitability expectations and dividend policies, by visiting the dedicated page on InvestingPro. With a total of 8 tips available, these insights can provide valuable context for the company's upcoming strategic moves and financial health.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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