Radian Q2 2025 slides show strong mortgage insurance fundamentals, rising book value

Published 15/10/2025, 01:48
Radian Q2 2025 slides show strong mortgage insurance fundamentals, rising book value

Introduction & Market Context

Radian Group Inc. (NYSE:RDN), a leading mortgage insurance and real estate services provider, presented its second quarter 2025 financial results showing solid performance across key metrics. The company reported net income of $142 million with diluted earnings per share of $1.02, up from $0.98 in the previous quarter, while maintaining a strong capital position in a challenging mortgage market environment.

The mortgage insurer’s stock remained stable in aftermarket trading at $33.35, reflecting investor confidence in its strategic direction despite ongoing housing market challenges including supply constraints and elevated home prices.

Quarterly Performance Highlights

Radian reported diluted net income per share of $1.02 for Q2 2025, representing a modest increase from $0.98 in the previous quarter. The company’s adjusted diluted net operating income per share came in at $1.01, demonstrating consistent operational performance.

As shown in the following summary of financial metrics:

Book value per share grew to $33.18, representing a 12% year-over-year increase, while return on equity remained strong at 12.5%. The company maintained substantial liquidity with available holding company resources of $784 million and PMIERs excess available assets of $2.0 billion, providing significant operational flexibility.

Total revenue reached $318 million, with net mortgage insurance premiums earned of $234 million and net investment income of $73 million, as illustrated in this continuation of key financial metrics:

Mortgage Insurance Business Analysis

Radian’s primary mortgage insurance in force grew to $276.7 billion in Q2 2025, supported by $14.3 billion in new insurance written, a significant increase from $9.5 billion in the previous quarter. The company’s persistency rate remained high at 83.8% on a quarterly annualized basis, helping to maintain the insurance portfolio despite challenging market conditions.

The following chart illustrates the rollforward of primary mortgage insurance in force and persistency trends:

Premium yields have remained relatively stable, with the in-force portfolio premium yield at 37.8 basis points in Q2 2025 compared to 38.2 basis points in the same period last year. This stability in yield, combined with the growth in insurance in force, has helped maintain steady premium revenue despite competitive pressures in the mortgage insurance market.

The detailed breakdown of net premiums earned shows the components driving Radian’s revenue stream:

Credit Performance and Risk Management

Radian’s default rate stood at 2.27% in Q2 2025, reflecting a well-managed risk profile. The company has demonstrated strong cure trends, with approximately 90% of defaults being cured within one year of the initial default date.

The mortgage insurance default rollforward provides insight into the movement of defaults in Radian’s portfolio:

The company’s provision for losses was $12 million in Q2 2025, while the total reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses stood at $383 million. Radian’s effective risk management is further evidenced by its strong cure trends:

Capital Position and Investment Strategy

Radian maintains a strong capital position with a holding company debt-to-capital ratio of 19.2% and a risk-to-capital ratio of 10.3:1. The company has received stable ratings from major credit agencies, including BBB- from S&P, Baa3 from Moody’s, and BBB from Fitch, all with stable outlooks.

The following slide details Radian’s capital structure and credit ratings:

The company’s investment portfolio totaled $6.5 billion as of June 30, 2025, with a diversified allocation across various asset classes. Corporate bonds represented 41.2% of the portfolio, while agency residential mortgage-backed securities accounted for 14.9%.

This breakdown of the investment portfolio demonstrates Radian’s balanced approach to managing its assets:

Forward-Looking Statements

Radian anticipates scheduled contingency reserve releases of approximately $233 million in Q3-Q4 2025, which is expected to drive recurring distributions to the holding company. The company’s strategic focus remains on maintaining capital strength while supporting growth in its core mortgage insurance business.

CEO Rick Thornberry highlighted in the earnings call that "Since 1977, Radian has supported lenders and their borrowers by helping more than 8.5 million families achieve their dream of homeownership," underscoring the company’s longstanding commitment to the housing market.

While Radian faces potential challenges from supply constraints, elevated home prices, and potential economic fluctuations, its strong capital position and effective risk management strategies position it well to navigate the evolving mortgage landscape. The company’s focus on innovation, including the development of RADAR Rates risk-based pricing, and its support for first-time homebuyers, continues to strengthen its competitive position in the mortgage insurance market.

Full presentation:

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