Raymond James sees Palantir stock needing consolidation after 120% YTD rally

Published 23/09/2024, 09:12
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On Monday, Palantir Technologies Inc . (NYSE:PLTR) experienced a shift in stock rating as Raymond James downgraded the company from Outperform to Market Perform. The decision came after an assessment of the company's stock performance and valuation metrics.

Palantir's shares have seen a significant surge, with a year-to-date increase of over 120% and an approximate sixfold growth over the past two years. This compares to the S&P 500's gains of 20% and 50% for the same periods.

The downgrade reflects a belief that the stock needs time to consolidate its impressive gains and adjust to its current valuation. Palantir's valuation has expanded about fivefold, positioning it as the most expensively valued software company among its peers, trading at 26.1 times its forecasted FY25 sales. This valuation surpasses those of comparable companies in the software sector.

The inclusion of Palantir in the S&P 500, which was announced on September 9, led to a 23% rise in the stock price over the following 14 days. However, with this substantial increase already factored into the stock price, the analyst suggests that significant positive estimate revisions may be the only driver for further stock appreciation in the near term.

The analyst's commentary indicates a positive view on Palantir's long-term positioning within the artificial intelligence sector. Despite the downgrade, the firm's recognition of Palantir's potential in the AI space remains clear. The adjustment in rating is primarily attributed to the stock's rapid ascent and the need for its market value to stabilize.

Investors and market watchers will likely monitor Palantir's performance closely, considering the recent changes in its stock rating and the potential implications for its future market behavior. The company's next moves and market reactions will be of interest as it continues to grow within the competitive AI landscape.

In other recent news, Palantir Technologies Inc. has secured a significant $99.8 million military AI contract expansion from the DEVCOM Army Research Laboratory, extending the capabilities of its Maven Smart System to various branches of the U.S. military.

The company also announced a multi-year contract with Nebraska Medicine to implement its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP), which has already led to improvements in healthcare operations and patient care.

Palantir reported a 27% year-over-year increase in second-quarter fiscal year 2024 earnings, reaching $678.1 million in total revenue, and raised its full-year revenue guidance to $2.746 billion. Analysts have weighed in on the company's performance, with BofA Securities maintaining a Buy rating and Citi reaffirming a Neutral rating, citing potential uncertainties in the Government business sector.

Palantir has been recognized as a leader in artificial intelligence and machine learning platforms by Forrester. The company also announced a collaboration with Wendy’s Quality Supply Chain Co-op, Inc. to integrate AI into its operations. These are recent developments for Palantir.


InvestingPro Insights


In light of the recent downgrade by Raymond James, an analysis of Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) through InvestingPro provides additional context. Palantir holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which is a strong indicator of financial stability. Additionally, the company is expected to see net income growth this year, suggesting a positive outlook on profitability. With 11 analysts having revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, there is a sense of optimism surrounding the company's financial performance.

From a valuation standpoint, Palantir's market cap stands at $83.31 billion, reflecting its significant size in the tech sector. While the P/E ratio is high at 199.29, the PEG ratio of 0.24 indicates potential for growth relative to earnings. Investors may also note the impressive gross profit margin of 81.39% for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, which underscores the company's ability to manage costs effectively.

These InvestingPro Tips and data points offer a nuanced perspective on Palantir's current financial health and future potential. For those interested in deeper analysis, InvestingPro provides a suite of additional tips, with 23 more available for Palantir, to help investors make informed decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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