RBC raises AGNC Investment stock price target with no rating change

Published 16/08/2024, 12:00
RBC raises AGNC Investment stock price target with no rating change

RBC Capital Markets has adjusted its price target on shares of AGNC Investment Corp (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AGNC), raising it to $11.00 from the previous $10.00 while the firm reiterated its Outperform rating on the stock.

The adjustment follows a review of the company's second-quarter performance. RBC Capital's analysis indicates that AGNC Investment's dividend levels, which yield approximately 14%, are consistent with the expected returns given the current economic environment.

The management of AGNC Investment has expressed a belief that the fundamental outlook for fixed income has significantly improved. They suggest that a potential for a steepening yield curve and reduced rate volatility could benefit agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) assets.

RBC Capital maintains its Outperform rating, recognizing AGNC Investment as a robust operator focused on agency MBS. The firm's positive stance is supported by what it views as a favorable macroeconomic setup in the near term for the company.

AGNC reported mixed results for the second quarter of 2024, recording a negative economic return just shy of 1% and a comprehensive loss of $0.13 per share. Despite these challenges, the company expanded its investment portfolio by approximately $3 billion in agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), offset by a 10% reduction in its non-agency portfolio. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, and Compass Point both revised their price targets upward for AGNC, reflecting anticipated changes in Federal Reserve policy and the attractive environment for agency MBS. Recent developments also include AGNC issuing $434 million in common equity.

Furthermore, AGNC's management expressed confidence in maintaining its annual dividend of $1.44 per share, which corresponds to a return on tangible common equity of around 17%. Analysts from both firms anticipate an increase in the portfolio's value over the next year due to potential Federal Reserve policy changes. They also foresee AGNC's strategy of continuing to issue equity as beneficial to shareholders.

InvestingPro Insights

AGNC Investment Corp's recent performance has garnered analyst attention, with RBC Capital Markets raising its price target. Supporting this outlook, InvestingPro Tips highlight that net income for AGNC is expected to grow this year, and analysts anticipate sales growth in the current year. This aligns with the firm's positive assessment and the management's improved fundamental outlook for fixed income. Moreover, AGNC has a track record of maintaining dividend payments, having done so for 17 consecutive years, which is significant given the current dividend yield of approximately 14%.

In the realm of financial metrics, AGNC's market capitalization stands at $7.86 billion, with a P/E ratio of 23.8, reflecting investor expectations of future earnings potential. The company's robust revenue growth of 375.93% over the last twelve months, as of Q2 2024, demonstrates a strong upward trajectory in earnings. Additionally, AGNC's dividend yield is notably high at 14.34%, which is particularly attractive to income-focused investors.

For investors seeking a deeper dive into AGNC's performance and future outlook, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed at InvestingPro's AGNC page. These tips provide further insights into the company's financial health and market position, helping to inform investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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