Two 59%+ winners, four above 25% in Aug – How this AI model keeps picking winners
Introduction & Market Context
San Miguel Corporation (PSE:SMC) reported a remarkable 392% increase in net income for the first half of 2025, despite a 9% decline in revenue, according to the company’s analyst briefing held on August 12, 2025. The Philippine conglomerate highlighted the country’s economic resilience, noting 5.5% GDP growth in Q2 supported by strong agriculture and household consumption amid low inflation and eased monetary policy.
The company’s performance reflects its ability to expand margins through cost efficiencies and improved operations across its diverse business segments, with particularly strong contributions from its food, spirits, and infrastructure divisions.
Executive Summary
San Miguel’s consolidated financial results for 1H2025 showed net income soaring to P66.77 billion from P13.58 billion in the same period last year. Even excluding foreign exchange effects and one-off items, net income still grew by a healthy 9% to P36.69 billion.
While consolidated net sales decreased by 9% to P718.21 billion, income from operations increased by 3% to P87.66 billion, demonstrating the company’s focus on operational efficiency. EBITDA rose to P126.34 billion from P113.69 billion, with the EBITDA margin expanding significantly from 11% to 18%.
As shown in the following consolidated financial performance chart:
Operating margins expanded from 10.8% to 12.2%, primarily driven by improvements in the Power, Infrastructure, and Food businesses. The company maintained a robust balance sheet with total assets of P2.62 trillion as of June 30, 2025, while reducing interest-bearing debt to P1.50 trillion from P1.56 trillion at the end of 2024.
Segment Performance Highlights
San Miguel Food and Beverage (SMFB) delivered strong results with net sales increasing 4% to P201.20 billion and net income rising 15% to P22.96 billion. The segment’s EBITDA grew to P39.26 billion, with the EBITDA margin improving from 16% to 20%, driven by higher sales, improved margins, and cost efficiencies.
The following chart illustrates SMFB’s financial performance:
Within SMFB, San Miguel Foods emerged as a standout performer with net sales increasing 7% to P94.38 billion and net income surging 53% to P5.99 billion. The division’s EBITDA rose 34% to P13.09 billion, with the EBITDA margin improving from 11% to 14%.
The breakdown of San Miguel Foods’ performance is shown here:
Ginebra San Miguel Inc. also delivered strong results with net sales increasing 7% to P32.24 billion and net income rising 16% to P4.25 billion. EBITDA grew 17% to P5.62 billion, supported by stronger pricing, improved product mix, and sustained cost efficiencies.
San Miguel Brewery saw a slight 1% decrease in net sales to P74.59 billion but managed to increase its net income by 3% to P12.98 billion, with EBITDA rising 6% to P20.34 billion on strong brand equity and efficiency gains.
Petron Corporation faced challenges with net sales decreasing 13% to P386.40 billion and net income declining 14% to P5.25 billion. The petroleum company’s performance was affected by lower refining margins and higher inventory losses due to declining prices, though this was partially offset by higher domestic volume.
The following chart shows Petron’s performance metrics:
San Miguel Global Power reported a 19% decrease in net sales to P80.15 billion, but net income surged by 365% to P34.57 billion. EBITDA rose 14% to P34.41 billion, with the EBITDA margin improving dramatically from 30% to 43%. This improvement was attributed to higher contracted capacities with fuel passthrough arrangements and from the sale of Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) capacities.
The power segment’s financial performance is illustrated here:
SMC Infrastructure continued its strong performance with revenue increasing 7% to P19.86 billion and income from operations rising 13% to P11.14 billion. Average daily traffic increased to 1,077,148 vehicles from 1,034,081 in the same period last year. EBITDA grew 8% to P15.84 billion, with the EBITDA margin improving slightly to 80%.
The infrastructure segment’s results are shown in the following chart:
Strategic Initiatives & Outlook
San Miguel Corporation emphasized its commitment to sustainability, highlighting its third consecutive win at the 2025 Cambridge IFA 3G Awards for CSR and sustainability reporting. The company also outlined its roadmap to achieve Net Zero emissions by 2050, with distinct phases for laying the foundation (2024-2030), scaling up (2031-2040), and achieving the goal (2041-2050).
The company reported significant progress in major infrastructure projects, including the development of Manila International Airport and the rehabilitation of Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA). San Miguel Global Power is scaling up its Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) network to accelerate renewable energy integration.
Looking ahead, San Miguel remains focused on efficiency, discipline, and strategic priorities, contributing to the country’s progress through infrastructure development while continuing its sustainability transformation across the value chain.
The company’s balance sheet remains robust with cash increasing to P321 billion as of June 30, 2025, from P294 billion at the end of 2024, while total equity rose to P738 billion from P676 billion.
As of August 15, 2025, Petron Corp (PSE:PCOR) shares were trading slightly lower, down 0.41% to P2.45, reflecting some market caution despite the strong overall performance of its parent company.
Full presentation:
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