Sasol FY25 production meets lower end of guidance, EPS to rise over 20%

Published 22/07/2025, 10:14
Sasol FY25 production meets lower end of guidance, EPS to rise over 20%

Investing.com -- Sasol (NYSE:SSL)’s fiscal year 2025 production figures have met the lower end of revised guidance ranges across several operations, according to a trading update released Tuesday.

Mining volumes were negatively affected by the closure of low-quality sections until the destoning plant became operational. FY25 production reached 28.2 million tons, at the lower end of the revised 28-30 million ton guidance range, with unit costs remaining within revised guidance.

Mozambique gas production ended 1% higher year-over-year, within the 0 to 5% guidance range. External gas sales benefited from higher customer demand.

Synfuels production increased 3% quarter-over-quarter due to improved gasifier availability and better coal quality. However, Secunda production for FY25 came in at 6.721 million tons, falling below the lower end of the revised 6.8-7 million ton guidance range, which was originally set at 7-7.2 million tons.

Natref operations ramped up following a fire in the third quarter of 2025, but were negatively impacted by an unplanned Eskom outage. This resulted in FY25 production declining 17% year-over-year, below the guidance of a 5-10% decrease.

South African liquid fuel sales were in line with expectations, supplemented by external purchases. FY25 Oryx production ended 72% higher year-over-year, exceeding the guidance range of 50-70% growth.

Chemical revenues for the fourth quarter of 2025 reached $2,017 million, up 5% quarter-over-quarter but down 3% year-over-year. Chemical Africa volumes decreased 4% year-over-year, at the lower end of guidance due to reduced Sasolburg and Secunda production. Chemicals America volumes increased 33% quarter-over-quarter and 8% year-over-year, boosted by both the East and LIP JV crackers exceeding nameplate capacity. However, the basket price fell 12% quarter-over-quarter and 11% year-over-year due to lower ethylene prices and product mix effects.

Sasol expects FY25 earnings per share to increase by more than 20% compared to the loss of R69.94 per share in FY24, which aligns with consensus expectations. The company will report its FY25 results on August 25, 2025, with a comprehensive trading statement expected before then.

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