Sherwin-Williams stock poised for gains despite volume concerns - Evercore ISI

Published 24/07/2024, 10:58
Sherwin-Williams stock poised for gains despite volume concerns - Evercore ISI

On Wednesday, Sherwin-Williams (NYSE:SHW) stock received an updated price target from Evercore ISI, increasing it to $365 from $360, while the Outperform rating was maintained. The adjustment reflects the company's ability to drive earnings through share gains and pricing power, even with volumes being slightly below expectations.

The firm noted that the modest raise in the company's guidance led to a 6% increase in the stock price, emphasizing the value of Sherwin-Williams' defensive growth strategy in the current uncertain economic environment.

Despite some bearish concerns over valuation, lackluster volume, and the potential peak of gross margin benefits in the first half of the year, the firm highlighted Sherwin-Williams' consistent market share gains, especially with professional painters.

Evercore ISI pointed to improvements in volume within certain segments and the moderation of raw material costs, which, along with effective pricing strategies, are expected to contribute to the company's financial performance. Additionally, the firm suggested that the cautious stance of home improvement consumers could favor Sherwin-Williams, as paint is considered a less cyclical and more need-based product.

The firm's modestly improving Home Improvement Lead Indicator suggests a "check-shaped" recovery for the remainder of 2024, but notes that removing the wealth effect could result in a slightly negative trend.

However, with prices increasing, volumes recovering, raw material costs expected to be flat in the second half, and sales projected to grow, Evercore ISI raised its 2024 earnings per share estimate by $0.10 to $11.60, which is above the upper end of the company's guidance and consensus estimates.

The new price target is based on a 35% premium to the firm's 2025 earnings per share estimate of $12.80. Sherwin-Williams also remains a top pick for Evercore ISI, being included in their "Fab Five" portfolio, as a preferred stock for capitalizing on a recovery in the home improvement sector targeted towards professional clients in the second half of 2024.

In other recent news, Sherwin-Williams has seen several important developments. The company reported an increase in residential repaint sales for the second quarter of 2024 and expects a similar trend for the rest of the year. Sherwin-Williams also anticipates an improvement in price effectiveness in the second half of 2024, which should drive year-over-year gross margin expansion.

Various investment firms have adjusted their outlooks on the company. Citi raised Sherwin-Williams' price target to $395, maintaining a Buy rating, while Mizuho increased its price target to $365, expecting a boost from potential increased housing activity. On the other hand, BMO Capital lowered its target to $360 but retained an Outperform rating, citing a cautious stance on volume trends.

Jefferies kept a Buy rating with a $370 price target, expressing confidence in Sherwin-Williams' ability to gain market share and benefit from price increases. RBC Capital reduced its price target to $370 but maintained an Outperform rating, highlighting the company's ongoing investments and effective pricing strategies.

Finally, KeyBanc upgraded Sherwin-Williams from Sector Weight to Overweight with a new price target of $400, anticipating continued market share gains in the architectural paint sector. These recent developments reflect analysts' belief in Sherwin-Williams' resilience and potential for growth.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent analysis from InvestingPro aligns with Evercore ISI's positive outlook on Sherwin-Williams (NYSE:SHW). The company's strategic approach to growth is underscored by the InvestingPro Tip that management has been aggressively buying back shares, a move often seen as a show of confidence in the company's future. Additionally, Sherwin-Williams' commitment to shareholder returns is highlighted by its impressive track record of raising its dividend for 31 consecutive years, suggesting a stable and investor-friendly corporate policy.

Looking at the real-time data from InvestingPro, Sherwin-Williams boasts a solid market capitalization of $87.38 billion, reflecting its substantial presence in the industry. The company's Price/Earnings (P/E) Ratio stands at 36.3, indicating a premium valuation that investors are willing to pay for its earnings, which may be justified by its long-term growth prospects and consistent dividend increases. Moreover, the Gross Profit Margin for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 is robust at 47.3%, showcasing the company's efficiency in managing its cost of goods sold and maintaining profitability.

For those interested in a deeper dive into Sherwin-Williams' financial health and market performance, InvestingPro offers additional insights and metrics. With a total of 17 InvestingPro Tips available, investors can make more informed decisions by accessing comprehensive analysis. To explore these tips and gain an edge in your investment strategy, consider using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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