Trump announces trade deal with EU following months of negotiations
On Friday, Truist Securities adjusted its outlook on EPR Properties (NYSE:EPR), a real estate investment trust specializing in entertainment, recreation, and education properties. The firm increased the price target to $46.00 from the previous $44.00, while maintaining a Hold rating on the stock.
The revision comes as Truist Securities holds steady on its 2024 normalized funds from operations (FFO) per share estimate at $4.86, but slightly reduces the 2025 FFO estimate to $4.98 from $4.99. The adjustment in the 2025 forecast reflects a combination of factors including lower Tenant Reimbursement Structures (TRS) operating income, decreased joint venture FFO, and a shift towards more development versus acquisition spending, which affects the timing of earnings contributions.
These were somewhat balanced by a reduction in general and administrative expenses.
Truist Securities' assumptions for EPR Properties' model in 2024 include $66 million in acquisitions with an 8.0% yield, $131 million in development completions at an 8.5% yield, $55 million in mortgage loans at a 9.0% interest rate, and $70 million in dispositions at a 4.1% yield.
For 2025, the projections are $170 million in acquisitions at an 8.0% yield, $175 million in development completions at an 8.5% yield, $60 million in mortgage loans at a 9.0% rate, $80 million in dispositions at an 8.5% yield, a $34 million equity raise at $45 per share, and $350 million in long-term debt at a 5.9% interest rate.
The new price target of $46 is based on Truist Securities' net asset value (NAV) estimate of $57.37 per share, employing a 7.75% capitalization rate, and a discounted cash flow (DCF) value of $46.06 per share, which uses a 13.6% discount rate and a terminal growth rate of 1.5%.
InvestingPro Insights
Following the recent analysis by Truist Securities on EPR Properties (NYSE:EPR), InvestingPro provides additional insights that could be beneficial for investors looking to understand the company's financial health and market position. EPR Properties boasts an impressive gross profit margin which, as of the last twelve months ending in Q2 2024, stands at a robust 91.52%. This high margin underscores the company's efficiency in managing its cost of goods sold relative to its revenue.
Moreover, EPR Properties is attracting attention for its dividend policy. The company pays a significant dividend to shareholders, with a dividend yield of 7.69% as of the latest data, and has a history of maintaining dividend payments for 28 consecutive years. This consistent return to shareholders may be particularly appealing to income-focused investors.
InvestingPro data also highlights the company's valuation metrics, with an adjusted P/E ratio of 16.31, indicating that the stock is trading at a lower price relative to near-term earnings growth, which could suggest a potentially undervalued stock. Additionally, the PEG ratio, which measures the stock's price relative to its earnings growth rate, is 0.57—further signaling that the stock may be undervalued based on its earnings trajectory.
For those seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on EPR Properties, which can be accessed to deepen your understanding of the company's prospects and performance. In total, there are seven InvestingPro Tips available for investors, providing a broader range of data points and expert insights to inform investment decisions.
This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.