UBS starts Alpine Income Property at Neutral sees opportunities priced in

Published 14/10/2024, 11:50
UBS starts Alpine Income Property at Neutral sees opportunities priced in

On Monday, UBS initiated coverage on Alpine Income Property Trust (NYSE:PINE) with a Neutral rating and a price target set at $19.00.

"We are Neutral on PINE's shares because we think its increasing acquisition opportunities under a moderating 10-yr are already priced into shares," said UBS analysts.

Alpine Income Property Trust has shown an uptick in its acquisition activities, with a significant increase in investments for the third quarter of 2024 amounting to $38 million. This is a considerable rise from the $16 million in the second quarter and just $1 million in the first quarter of the year. Despite this growth, the current pace is still below the company's long-term annual average of $162 million, although it is on par with the total volume of acquisitions made in 2023, which was $83 million.

The company is also actively investing in short-term construction loan opportunities, with around $30 million committed year-to-date. However, UBS anticipates that future growth opportunities for Alpine Income Property Trust may be constrained by its cost of capital and balance sheet considerations. The company's implied capitalization rate, as estimated by UBS, stands at 7.4%, with acquisition capitalization rates in the 8% range. Additionally, Alpine's leverage ratio is reported at 7.4 times, which is higher than the average of 5.2 times seen among its peers.

To fund its acquisitions, Alpine Income Property Trust has been leveraging asset dispositions, with year-to-date sales totaling $64 million at a capitalization rate of 7.0%. This strategy of funding through sales is seen as limiting the potential for earnings growth from these investments.

In other recent news, Alpine Income Property Trust has seen significant changes in its board and financial outlook. Mark O. Decker Jr. has resigned from the Board of Directors, prompting a search for a replacement. The company also reported a 13.9% increase in Funds from Operations (FFO) per share for the first quarter of 2024. Concurrently, Alpine extended its management agreement with Alpine Income Property Manager, LLC, until January 31, 2025, ensuring continuity in the management of its real estate portfolio.

Truist Securities raised its price target for Alpine to $18.00, maintaining a Hold rating. B.Riley also upgraded the stock price target to $20.00, maintaining a Buy rating. Stifel, another independent research firm, kept a Buy rating but adjusted the price target to $18.00 after reviewing Alpine's loan investment portfolio.

InvestingPro Insights

Alpine Income Property Trust's recent financial data and market performance offer additional context to UBS's Neutral rating. According to InvestingPro, the company's market capitalization stands at $265.92 million, with a dividend yield of 6.26% as of the latest data. This attractive yield aligns with one of the InvestingPro Tips, which notes that PINE "Has raised its dividend for 5 consecutive years," potentially appealing to income-focused investors.

The company's revenue growth of 5.44% over the last twelve months and a more robust 10.06% growth in the most recent quarter suggest a positive trend in line with the increased acquisition activity mentioned in the article. However, the InvestingPro data also reveals that PINE is "Not profitable over the last twelve months," with a negative P/E ratio, which may explain UBS's cautious stance.

Interestingly, another InvestingPro Tip indicates that "Management has been aggressively buying back shares," which could be seen as a sign of confidence in the company's value. This action, combined with the dividend growth, may help support the stock price despite current profitability challenges.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 6 additional tips for Alpine Income Property Trust, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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