Wells Fargo cuts General Dynamics stock to Equal Weight rating, lowers price target

Published 01/10/2024, 12:38
Wells Fargo cuts General Dynamics stock to Equal Weight rating, lowers price target

General Dynamics Corp. (NYSE: NYSE:GD) saw a shift in stock rating as Wells Fargo downgraded the company from Overweight to Equal Weight, adjusting the price target to $317 from the previous $334.

The downgrade was based on concerns regarding the company's ability to meet its guidance for the third quarter of 2024. Challenges with aircraft completion and Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) rework have reportedly caused Gulfstream G700 jet deliveries to fall behind schedule.

The analyst from Wells Fargo highlighted issues at General Dynamics' Marine division, citing negative press which may impede the anticipated recovery of margins in that sector.

The downgrade comes amid skepticism about the sustainability of Gulfstream's aircraft delivery rate, which has been running 30% above its recent order rate.

The new price target implies a modest 6% upside from the current level. The analyst expressed caution about General Dynamics' short-term prospects, particularly in light of the delivery and margin recovery challenges faced by the company's aircraft and marine divisions.

In other recent news, General Dynamics has experienced a series of significant developments. The company saw an 18% increase in Q2 revenue, largely driven by a 50% surge in business jet sales, and a rise in net income to $905 million from $744 million in the same quarter last year.

However, the defense contractor's recent performance indicates fewer aircraft deliveries than anticipated, leading Baird to adjust its earnings per share (EPS) estimates for General Dynamics in 2024 to $13.75, reflecting the impact of these delays.

General Dynamics has also secured several significant contracts. These include a $299 million contract to maintain and enhance the Pentagon's network infrastructure, a $491.6 million contract from the Space Development Agency to advance the Ground Management and Integration program, and a potential $6.7 billion contract for the construction of up to eight John Lewis-class fleet replenishment oilers for the U.S. Navy.

In the analyst landscape, Morgan Stanley upgraded General Dynamics stock from Equalweight to Overweight, while Deutsche Bank downgraded the stock from Buy to Hold.

The company is among the major defense contractors that could be affected by a proposed 'right to repair' bill, currently being investigated by U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren. Lastly, the U.S.'s decision to increase military aid to Ukraine, including the purchase of new weapons, is expected to benefit the backlogs of defense contractors such as General Dynamics.

InvestingPro Insights

Despite the recent downgrade from Wells Fargo, General Dynamics (NYSE:GD) presents a mixed picture according to InvestingPro data. The company's market capitalization stands at $82.9 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the Aerospace & Defense industry.

General Dynamics has shown resilience in its financial performance, with a 10% revenue growth over the last twelve months, reaching $44.95 billion. This growth is particularly noteworthy given the challenges highlighted in the Wells Fargo analysis. The company's profitability remains solid, with a gross profit margin of 15.67% and an operating income margin of 9.51% for the same period.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that General Dynamics has raised its dividend for 11 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns. This is further supported by a current dividend yield of 1.88% and a dividend growth rate of 7.58% over the last twelve months. These factors may provide some reassurance to investors concerned about the short-term challenges facing the company.

However, it's worth noting that the stock is trading at a high P/E ratio of 23.07 relative to its near-term earnings growth, which aligns with Wells Fargo's cautious stance. The stock is also trading near its 52-week high, with a price that is 97.49% of its 52-week peak.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips and insights beyond those mentioned here. In fact, there are 5 more InvestingPro Tips available for General Dynamics, which could provide further context to the company's current situation and future prospects.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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