Fresnillo shares slide as Q2 silver production falls short estimates; gold ahead

Published 23/07/2025, 08:30

Investing.com -- Fresnillo (LON:FRES) reported second-quarter silver production of 12.5 million ounces, falling 4% short of the consensus estimate of 13.1 million ounces.

The company’s shares dipped in London trading after the report. The stock was down 3% as of 07:13 GMT. 

However, a stronger performance in the gold segment—particularly at Herradura and San Julian—offset the miss, with total silver equivalent volumes coming in 4% above expectations, according to RBC Capital Markets.

Gold production reached 157,000 ounces in the quarter, beating forecasts by 12% compared to the 140,000-ounce consensus.

RBC analysts estimate that, all else being equal, the latest results should lift consensus EBITDA forecasts by 4.2% for the first half of 2025 and by 2% for the full year (FY25).

“With 60% of the mid-point of gold production achieved, FRES is on track to exceed 2025 gold guidance, but silver volumes could fall short of expectations if performance does not improve in the second half of the year,” analysts led by Marina Calero wrote.

“We wait for interim results on August 5th to learn more about plans to improve performance at the silver portfolio and recent developments at silverstream as well as the upside from the ongoing initiatives at Herradura,” they added.

By-product output was generally solid in Q2. Lead production totaled 15.2kt, slightly below expectations of around 15.7kt, while zinc output reached 28.4kt, exceeding the 27.0kt consensus by 5%, RBC noted.

Fresnillo maintained its full-year 2025 production guidance, targeting 49–56 million ounces of silver and 525,000–580,000 ounces of gold.

At the half-year mark, silver production has reached 47% and gold 57% of the midpoint of those ranges.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.