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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks slip as new U.S.-China tariffs sour global outlook

Published 02/09/2019, 09:49
Updated 02/09/2019, 09:50
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks slip as new U.S.-China tariffs sour global outlook
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Ritvik Carvalho

LONDON, Sept 2 (Reuters) - Global stocks dipped on Monday

after the United States and China imposed new tariffs on each

other's goods, reinforcing investors' worries over slowing

global growth, with no clear end in sight for the trade war.

MSCI's All-Country World Index .MIWD00000PUS , which tracks

shares across 47 countries, was down 0.1% on the day.

European shares rose cautiously, driven by a rally in

miners, although sentiment remained fragile in the light of the

latest round of tit-for-tat tariffs kicked off between the U.S.

and China. .EU

Washington's 15% tariffs on a variety of Chinese goods came

into effect on Sunday, while China began to implement new duties

on a $75 billion target list.

However, both sides will still meet for talks later this

month, U.S. President Donald Trump said. Trade-sensitive German shares .GDAXI were flat to slightly

higher and the pan-European stocks benchmark index STOXX 600

.STOXX was up 0.3% by 0754 GMT, beginning September higher

after a 1.6% drop in August as the trade war, which has roiled

financial markets and raised global recession fears, rages on

for more than a year.

"Despite the market's sanguine take, we believe the ultimate

outlook for the trade dispute has become harder to predict with

confidence," said Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS

Global Wealth Management.

"Since trade tensions have become the major driving force

for stocks, even greater than monetary policy, we advise against

adding significantly to equity exposure – particularly for those

who have an adequate strategic allocation."

Haefele added that income-generating carry positions such as

select emerging market currencies will perform well as central

banks ease policy in response to weaker growth.

Euro zone manufacturing activity contracted for a seventh

month in August as a continued decline in demand sapped

optimism, a survey showed, likely strengthening expectations for

monetary easing from the European Central Bank next week.

At their July meeting policymakers at the ECB all but

promised to ease policy further as the bloc's growth outlook

worsens.

Italian bond yields fell towards recent multi-year lows

after Italy's prime minister said at the weekend he was

confident that he could finalise talks on a new government by

Wednesday. GVD/EUR

The 5-Star Movement and the Democratic Party (PD) were in

intense discussions over the weekend to hammer out a deal on a

common agenda and Cabinet posts. In currency markets, the dollar was flat against a basket of

peers. .DXY .

The euro was 0.05% lower at $1.0985 EUR= , not far from

two-year low of $1.0963 hit in U.S. trade on Friday.

U.S. markets were shut for a holiday on Monday.

TRADE WAR

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS dropped 0.24%, led by 0.5% drop in Hong Kong's

Hang Seng .HSI after another weekend of violent

anti-government protests.

Chinese shares, however, bucked the bearish trend, with the

CSI300 index .CSI300 rising 1.1% despite the trade row

escalation. Providing some tailwind to mainland markets was a

pledge by China's State Council to boost support for the

economy. Caixin/Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index

(PMI), a private sector survey, on Monday showed factory

activity unexpectedly expanded in August, though gains were

modest and contrasted with official data that pointed to further

contraction. Washington slapped tariffs on a variety of Chinese goods -

including footwear, smart watches and flat-panel televisions -

while Beijing imposed new duties on U.S. crude, the latest

escalation in a bruising trade war. Several studies suggest the tariffs will cost U.S.

households up to $1,000 a year, with the latest round hitting a

significant number of U.S. consumer goods.

Many market players say the market's reaction was likely

exaggerated by algorithm-driven players' flows in thin trading

conditions at start of Asian trade on Monday.

Liquidity could be even more limited than usual because of a

U.S. market holiday on Monday.

"(The market move) goes to show you how many data mining

algos are involved with equity-linked compared to forex-linked.

Was anyone surprised by these tariffs that took effect

yesterday?" said Takeo Kamai, head of execution at CLSA in

Tokyo.

Tension is also running high in Hong Kong, with police and

protesters clashing in some of the most intense violence since

unrest erupted more than three months ago over concerns Beijing

is undermining democratic freedoms in the territory. Thousands of protesters blocked roads and public transport

links to Hong Kong airport and police made several arrests after

demonstrators smashed CCTV cameras and lamps with metal poles

and dismantled station turnstiles.

China, eager to quell the unrest before the 70th anniversary

of the founding of the People's Republic of China on Oct. 1, has

accused foreign powers, particularly the United States and

Britain, of fomenting the unrest.

Oil prices also fell on Monday.

Brent crude LCOc1 futures fell 0.30% to $59.07 a barrel

while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1

were 0.1% lower at $55.

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