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RPT-UPDATE 1-Economic "game changer"? African leaders launch free-trade zone

Published 08/07/2019, 13:14
Updated 08/07/2019, 13:20
RPT-UPDATE 1-Economic "game changer"? African leaders launch free-trade zone

(Repeats July 7 story with no changes to text)
* African leaders meet to discuss key details of free-trade
bloc
* Potential for Africa's $3.4 trillion economy is massive
* Hurdles remain, such as corruption and poor infrastructure

By Boureima Balima
NIAMEY, July 7 (Reuters) - African leaders launched a
continental free-trade zone on Sunday that if successful would
unite 1.3 billion people, create a $3.4 trillion economic bloc
and usher in a new era of development.
After four years of talks, an agreement to form a 55-nation
trade bloc was reached in March, paving the way for Sunday's
African Union summit in Niger where Ghana was announced as the
host of the trade zone's future headquarters and discussions
were held on how exactly the bloc will operate. It is hoped that the African Continental Free Trade Area
(AfCFTA) - the largest since the creation of the World Trade
Organization in 1994 - will help unlock Africa's long-stymied
economic potential by boosting intra-regional trade,
strengthening supply chains and spreading expertise.
"The eyes of the world are turned towards Africa," Egyptian
President and African Union Chairman Abdel Fattah al-Sisi said
at the summit's opening ceremony.
"The success of the AfCFTA will be the real test to achieve
the economic growth that will turn our people's dream of welfare
and quality of life into a reality," he said.
Africa has much catching up to do: its intra-regional trade
accounted for just 17% of exports in 2017 versus 59% in Asia and
69% in Europe, and Africa has missed out on the economic booms
that other trade blocs have experienced in recent decades.
Economists say significant challenges remain, including poor
road and rail links, large areas of unrest, excessive border
bureaucracy and petty corruption that have held back growth and
integration.
Members have committed to eliminate tariffs on most goods,
which will increase trade in the region by 15-25% in the medium
term, but this would more than double if these other issues were
dealt with, according to International Monetary Fund (IMF)
estimates.
The IMF in a May report described the free-trade zone as a
potential "economic game changer" of the kind that has boosted
growth in Europe and North America, but it added a note of
caution.
"Reducing tariffs alone is not sufficient," it said.

DIVERGENT INTERESTS
Africa already has an alphabet soup of competing and
overlapping trade zones - ECOWAS in the west, EAC in the east,
SADC in the south and COMESA in the east and south.
But only the EAC, driven mainly by Kenya, has made
significant progress towards a common market in goods and
services.
These regional economic communities (REC) will continue to
trade among themselves as they do now. The role of AfCFTA is to
liberalise trade among those member states that are not
currently in the same REC, said Trudi Hartzenberg, director at
Tralac, a South Africa-based trade law organisation.
The zone's potential clout received a boost on Tuesday when
Nigeria, the largest economy in Africa, agreed to sign the
agreement at the summit. Benin has also since agreed to join.
Fifty-four of the continent's 55 states have now signed up, but
only about half of these have ratified. One obstacle in negotiations will be the countries'
conflicting motives.
For undiversified but relatively developed economies like
Nigeria, which relies heavily on oil exports, the benefits of
membership will likely be smaller than others, said John
Ashbourne, senior emerging markets economist at Capital
Economics.
Nigerian officials have expressed concern that the country
could be flooded with low-priced goods, confounding efforts to
encourage moribund local manufacturing and expand farming.
In contrast, South Africa's manufacturers, which are among
the most developed in Africa, could quickly expand outside their
usual export markets and into West and North Africa, giving them
an advantage over manufacturers from other countries, Ashbourne
said.
The presidents of both countries attended the summit.
The vast difference in countries' economic heft is another
complicating factor in negotiations. Nigeria, Egypt and South
Africa account for over 50% of Africa's cumulative GDP, while
its six sovereign island nations represent about 1%.
"It will be important to address those disparities to ensure
that special and differential treatments for the least developed
countries are adopted and successfully implemented," said Landry
Signe, a fellow at the Brookings Institution's Africa Growth
Initiative.
The summit also saw the launch of a digital payments system
for the zone and instruments that will govern rules of origin
and tariff concessions, as well as monitor and seek to eliminate
non-tariff obstacles to trade, the African Union said.

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