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GLOBAL MARKETS-Safe havens rise as recession concerns trigger easing bets

Published 20/08/2019, 19:41
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Safe havens rise as recession concerns trigger easing bets
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(Updates prices, adds lira)

* Bank shares hit by prospect of lower rates

* Focus shifting to Fed minutes, Jackson Hole symposium

* Brent prices reverse to trade higher; WTI little changed

By Rodrigo Campos

NEW YORK, Aug 20 (Reuters) - Traditional safe-havens

including the Japanese yen and U.S. Treasuries were sought out

on Tuesday even as there were signs that more economic stimulus

was on its way, as traders focused on concerns over a global

deceleration.

The prospect of new elections in Italy after the announced

resignation of Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte added to global

uncertainties, but Italian markets have been jittery over

infighting within the coalition and Italian yields fell after

the announcement. The key for markets now is whether pledges for more

accommodative policy from Germany to China are enough to assuage

concerns about the state of the global economy and end fears of

recession.

The immediate focus shifts to the minutes of the U.S.

Federal Reserve's most recent meeting, due on Wednesday. Traders

are also awaiting the Fed's Jackson Hole seminar and a Group of

Seven summit this weekend for clues on what additional steps

policymakers will take to boost economic growth.

"Market expectations for Jackson Hole and the central

banking community in aggregate are extremely dovish," said Brad

Bechtel, managing director at Jefferies in New York. "The U.S.

market is pricing a tremendous amount of easing now, along with

many other markets around the world. The market is literally

trying to force the hand of the central banking community."

Weighed by the prospect of even lower interest rates, bank

shares were among the largest decliners on Wall Street .SPXBK

and in Europe .SX7P .

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI fell 98.13 points,

or 0.38 percent, to 26,037.66, the S&P 500 .SPX lost 16.38

points, or 0.56 percent, to 2,907.27 and the Nasdaq Composite

.IXIC dropped 38.33 points, or 0.48 percent, to 7,964.48.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index .STOXX lost 0.68 percent.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS shed

0.30 percent after two sessions of gains over 1%.

Emerging market stocks rose 0.32 percent boosted by

overnight gains in South Korea.

The prospect of more central bank easing drove yields lower,

Benchmark U.S. 10-year notes US10YT=RR last rose 13/32 in

price to yield 1.5555 percent, from 1.598 percent late on

Monday. Financial markets went into a tailspin last week after U.S.

2-year yields traded above those of 10-year paper, an inversion

that has presaged previous recessions and is widely watched by

markets.

The dollar fell against major currencies, in line with the

drop in Treasury yields. The dollar index .DXY fell 0.19 percent, with the euro

EUR= up 0.23 percent to $1.1101.

The Japanese yen strengthened 0.34 percent versus the

greenback at 106.29 per dollar, while Sterling GBP= was last

trading at $1.2169, up 0.36 percent on the day.

The Turkish lira touched its lowest level in nearly a month

and recently fell 1.02 percent versus the greenback at 5.73 per

dollar after the central bank reduced the required reserves

ratio for certain lenders in a move seen as encouraging more

loans.

Oil prices rose as stimulus hopes offset concerns over

future demand and helped reverse early losses. U.S. crude CLc1 fell 0.05 percent to $56.18 per barrel and

Brent LCOc1 was last at $59.99, up 0.42 percent on the day.

Spot gold XAU= added 0.8 percent to $1,506.44 an ounce on

bets on further rate cuts at the Fed and on growth

concerns.

Global assets in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2jvdmXl

Global currencies vs. dollar http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

Emerging markets in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2ihRugV

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