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FOREX-Yen hits three-month high as Mideast tensions escalate

Published 06/01/2020, 06:25
Updated 06/01/2020, 06:27
© Reuters.  FOREX-Yen hits three-month high as Mideast tensions escalate
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* Safe havens extend gains as Mideast tensions rise

* Yen hits three-month high

* Gold surges to highest since 2013

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Jan 6 (Reuters) - The safe-haven yen touched a

three-month high on Monday and gold jumped as investors fretted

that the killing of Iran's most prominent military commander by

the United States could trigger a broader Middle East conflict.

U.S. President Donald Trump warned of a "major retaliation"

if Iran hit back, while Iran's replacement commander vowed to

expel the United States from the region. "I think markets are going to remain pretty nervous on

potential Iranian retaliation and what Trump might do next,"

said National Australia Bank's head of FX strategy, Ray Attrill.

On Sunday, Iran further distanced itself from the 2015

nuclear agreement with world powers, which the United States

witrhdrew from in 2018, saying it would continue to cooperate

with the U.N. nuclear watchdog but would respect no limits to

its uranium enrichment work. The yen JPY= , regarded as a haven in times of market

turmoil by virtue of Japan's status as the world's biggest

creditor, rose as much as 0.3% to 107.82 per dollar early in

Asian trade, its strongest since October 2019.

It handed back most of those gains later though, even as

gold gained and stocks slid.

"It's a wait-and-see but it's very tense," said Sean

MacLean, research strategist at Pepperstone, a brokerage in

Melbourne.

The Swiss franc CHF= rose 0.1% to 0.9712 francs per

dollar, while the euro EUR= and pound GBP= were steady.

The dollar crept higher against riskier currencies such as

the Aussie AUD=D3 and the kiwi NZD=D3 . Against a basket of

currencies .DXY the greenback steadied at 96.852.

Spot gold was 1.6% higher XAU= , at an almost seven-year

high, and oil rose on fears any conflict in the region could

disrupt global supplies. O/R

The moves extended a flight to safety that began on Friday,

after Iranian Major-General Qassem Soleimani was killed on

Friday in a U.S. drone strike on his convoy at Baghdad airport.

The attack took U.S.-Iranian hostilities into uncharted

territory, stoking fears of a major conflagration. The Australian dollar/yen pair - a gauge of risk sentiment

because the Aussie is an export-oriented currency compared with

the yen's safety status, has been among the biggest movers, with

the yen rising 1.1% since Friday. AUDJPY=

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Washington would

target any Iranian decision-makers it chose if there were

further attacks on U.S. interests by Iranian forces or their

proxies.

The European Union, Britain and Oman, meanwhile, urged the

two sides to make diplomatic efforts to defuse the crisis.

"The last thing markets want is a move from a tit-for-tat

tariff war to sabre-rattling in the Gulf," a strategist at

Singapore's DBS Bank wrote in a note on Monday.

Weak showings in factory activity surveys in Japan and China

on Monday only added to gloom over the outlook for global growth

after a disappointing U.S. manufacturing readout on Friday.

Service sector surveys in Europe, due later on Monday and a

U.S. non-manufacturing survey due on Tuesday were also in focus.

So too were November trade, construction approvals and

retail figures for Australia through the week, ahead of a

central bank meeting in a month.

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