Gold prices edge up after sharp losses; US inflation data awaited
Investingc.om -- BofA Global Research analysts observed a notable increase in end-month corporate demand for the U.S. dollar.
Despite this, hedge funds have continued to sell the currency, although these flows have weakened recently. The report suggests that real money investors may be waiting for further clarity on U.S. policies and economic data before deciding on future USD sales.
The analysis from BofA highlights mixed investor flows, with some real money buying USD last week. The demand for the dollar stood out against the backdrop of ongoing option flows showing demand for the euro against the dollar.
In a separate observation, BofA noted a pause in demand for U.S. equities, which is now much weaker compared to other G10 countries. The report indicates that recent U.S. bond flows have been mixed, but equity flows have declined significantly compared to earlier in the year.
The firm believes that relative equity market performance and related flows are more critical for foreign exchange movements this year than interest rate differentials, reflecting policy uncertainty and economic outlook implications.
Additionally, despite some improvement in emerging market (EM) foreign exchange positioning during the USD sell-off this year, the market remains short. BofA’s analysis shows positive EM FX flows, especially in Asia and Latin America, but these are primarily from short positions. The market continues to be short across all EM regions, with Asia being a significant focus.
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