NVDA Q3 Earnings Alert: Why our AI stock picker is still holding Nvidia stockRead More

FOREX-Currencies in cautious mood as investors wait for trade deal signing

Published 15/01/2020, 06:12
FOREX-Currencies in cautious mood as investors wait for trade deal signing
EUR/USD
-
GBP/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
USD/CHF
-
USD/CNY
-
DXY
-

* Markets on edge before signing of trade deal

* Yen inches higher, yuan drifts lower

* UK inflation data in focus for pound

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Jan 15 (Reuters) - The safe-haven yen held firm

and riskier Asian currencies softened a little on Wednesday, as

currency investors awaited the signing of the U.S.-China trade

deal with trepidation.

The formal agreement is aimed at drawing a line under 18

months of tit-for-tat tariff hikes that have hurt global growth,

but it will not end the trade dispute between the world's two

largest economy.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said existing tariffs

on Chinese goods would stay, pending further talks. That pulled China's yuan below Tuesday's six-month peak and

lifted the Japanese yen from a seven-month low, as traders

reckoned on few further benefits from the agreement.

"The deal is priced in," said National Australia Bank's head

of FX strategy, Ray Attrill. "I can't see any reason why the

yuan should continue to strengthen, given the limited amount of

tariff rollbacks that are contained in this deal."

The yuan is the currency most sensitive to Sino-U.S. trade

relations, and it retreated 0.2% to 6.8942 CNY= .

The yen JPY= was nearly 0.1% firmer at 109.88. The euro

EUR= was steady at $1.1132 and the Swiss franc CHF= held on

to overnight gains to sit at 0.9672 per dollar.

The trade-exposed Australian and New Zealand dollars each

eased, with the Aussie AUD=D3 last 0.1% lower at $0.6898 and

the kiwi NZD=D3 a fraction weaker at $0.6612. Against a basket

of currencies the U.S. dollar held at 97.339 .DXY .

U.S. President Donald Trump is slated to sign the Phase 1

trade agreement with Chinese Vice Premier Liu He at the White

House at 1630 GMT.

Washington has already agreed to suspend tariffs on $160

billion of some Chinese-made electronics, and to halve existing

tariffs on $120 billion of other goods to 7.5%.

But it will leave in place 25% tariffs on a vast, $250

billion array of Chinese industrial goods and components used by

U.S. manufacturers.

A source told Reuters that China has pledged to buy almost

$80 billion of additional manufactured goods from the United

States over the next two years under the deal, although some

U.S. trade experts called that unrealistic.

Mnuchin said deal documents will be released on Wednesday,

except for confidential annex covering the product and services

purchases.

Elsewhere the British pound GBP= was marginally stronger

at $1.3027, ahead of inflation data due at 0930 GMT.

The consensus expectation is for the core annual inflation

rateto hold steady at 1.7%. However, several recent hints at

rate cuts from Bank of England policymakers have investors on

edge that a miss on the downside may strengthen the case for

monetary easing.

Money markets are now pricing in a 43% chance for a 25 basis

point cut in rates at the end of this month. BOEWATCH

"If we saw core inflation coming in at say, 1.4%, then I

think that would inflame the situation," said Chris Weston, head

of research at Melbourne brokerage Pepperstone.

He added that business surveys next week would be even more

closely watched. "If they don't show any kind of meaningful

rebound, then you're probably going to get a market that's

pricing in (the chance of a cut) at north of 50%."

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.