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FOREX-Dollar awaits impeachment vote, kiwi flies on GDP

Published 19/12/2019, 00:27
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar awaits impeachment vote, kiwi flies on GDP
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By Swati Pandey

SYDNEY, Dec 19 (Reuters) - The New Zealand dollar bounced

from a one-week low on Thursday after the country's third

quarter economic growth came in stronger than expected while

greenback traders awaited a vote to impeach U.S. President

Donald Trump.

In Britain, the pound remained under pressure on rekindled

fears of a chaotic exit from the European Union. It was last at

$1.3077 after sliding nearly 2% in as many days. The kiwi climbed to $0.6589 NZD=D3 from Wednesday's low of

$0.6555 after New Zealand's annual gross domestic product

accelerated 2.7% in the third quarter against expectations for a

2.4% gain. Risk sensitive currencies such as the kiwi and its

Australian counterpart started December on a firm footing led by

the apparent removal of two main risks dominating global

markets: a preliminary U.S.-China trade deal and the election

victory of U.K. Prime Minister.

However, fears have resurfaced this week. Despite the

Sino-U.S. trade agreement, the spectre of a U.S.-led tariff war

has not disappeared as traders await clarity on the deal.

The safe haven yen JPY= held in a tight range at 109.57

per dollar. It is mostly flat so far this month.

U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said on Tuesday

that the United States may raise tariffs on European goods as it

tries to shrink its chronic trade deficit with the continent,

re-igniting worries of the prospects of the export-driven euro.

The euro EUR was last hovering around Wednesday's trough

of $1.1109 against the dollar, shrugging off a

better-than-expected survey of German business morale.

"The most significant piece of news overnight has been the

German December IFO survey, which... has shown evidence that the

German economy may be in the process of pulling itself up by its

boot straps," said Ray Attrill, Sydney-based head of forex

strategy at National Australia Bank.

"Improvement in the German – and broader Eurozone – economy

– is fundamental to our expectation for a softer U.S. dollar and

stronger Euro next year."

A major headwind for the dollar was a vote in the U.S. House

of Representatives on whether to impeach Trump later in the day.

The Senate is expected to vote in January.

Despite the political uncertainty, an index that tracks the

dollar against six major currencies jumped to a six-day high of

97.475 .DXY .

Solid U.S. economic data in recent days have tamed

expectations of any easing by the Federal Reserve in the near

term, keeping the dollar stronger. Money markets are not pricing

in a rate cut anytime soon. FEDWATCH

The Australian dollar AUD=D3 was a shade weaker at $0.6851

ahead of a monthly jobs report that could make or break

expectations for another interest rate cut as early as February.

RBAWATCH

Markets will focus on interest rate decisions from the Bank

of England and the Bank of Japan later in the day, with both

seen unlikely to change policy.

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