FOREX-Dollar drops to 2-week low as safe-haven bid ebbs on trade optimism

Published 10/10/2019, 15:32
Updated 10/10/2019, 15:40
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar drops to 2-week low as safe-haven bid ebbs on trade optimism
EUR/USD
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USD/JPY
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* China willing to reach agreement with U.S. - Vice Premier Liu He

* U.S. core CPI slips; headline CPI unchanged in September

* Markets expect Fed rate cut later this month

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds comments, FX table, U.S. data, updates prices, changes byline, dateline; previous LONDON)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, Oct 10 (Reuters) - The dollar fell to two-week lows on Thursday, with safe-haven demand for

the currency waning, as investors grew optimistic about a trade deal between the United States and China.

"There is growing optimism that we could get some partial agreement on trade between the U.S. and

China. I think both sides are needing to have a win," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst, at OANDA in

New York.

"So there is less safe-haven demand for the dollar. If we get some type of trade deal or

mini-agreement or mandate, you're going to see that being supportive of European assets. We're seeing the

euro now back above $1.10, which has been the resistance," he added.

Chinese Vice Premier Liu He said on Thursday China is willing to reach an agreement with the United

States on matters that both sides care about so as to prevent friction from leading to any further

escalation, the state news agency Xinhua reported. Liu, China's top trade negotiator, made his comment in Washington when he met with U.S. officials.

Trade talks between the two countries started on Thursday.

The markets also largely shrugged off core U.S. inflation data that was lower than forecast.

The dollar index, a gauge of the greenback's value against six major currencies, was on track for its

biggest daily drop in five weeks.

The yen, another safe haven in times of geopolitical and financial stress, also slid to a one-week

trough against the dollar, weakening as well against riskier currencies but with higher yields such as the

Australian dollar.

Earlier reports that the United States is weighing a currency pact with China that could also see a

planned tariff hike next week being suspended fueled a rally in risky assets, and kicked of weakness in

the dollar. In mid-morning trading, the dollar index .DXY fell 0.3% to 98.83 and was on track for its biggest

single-day drop since Sept. 4.

The dollar's weakness ignited a rally in the euro EUR= with the single currency rallying to a

two-week high. The euro was last at $1.1017, up 0.4%, as hedge funds cut back their extreme short bets.

Against the safe-haven yen, however, the dollar was last up 0.4% at 107.87 yen JPY= .

The dollar was little moved after data showed U.S. consumer prices were unchanged in September and

underlying inflation slipped. The report supported expectations the Federal Reserve will cut interest

rates in October for the third time this year.

The U.S. consumer price index edged up 0.1% in August. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the

CPI nudging up 0.1% in September and rising 1.8% on a year-on-year basis. Excluding the volatile food and

energy components, the CPI climbed 0.1% after gaining 0.3% for three straight months. Market bets for a quarter--point U.S. rate cut swelled to 85% at its next policy meeting in October,

compared to 53% a month earlier.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 10:21AM (1421 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1016 $1.0969 +0.43% -3.95% +1.1034 +1.0972

Dollar/Yen JPY= 107.9000 107.4600 +0.41% -2.14% +107.9100 +107.0400

Euro/Yen EURJPY= 118.87 117.90 +0.82% -5.82% +118.8900 +117.5800

Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9948 0.9956 -0.08% +1.37% +0.9962 +0.9915

Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.2266 1.2204 +0.51% -3.85% +1.2278 +1.2207

Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3279 1.3330 -0.38% -2.63% +1.3345 +1.3280

Australian/Doll AUD= 0.6763 0.6723 +0.59% -4.06% +0.6769 +0.6711

Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0960 1.0925 +0.32% -2.61% +1.0967 +1.0900

Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8980 0.8986 -0.07% -0.04% +0.9019 +0.8974

NZ NZD= 0.6317 0.6291 +0.41% -5.96% +0.6335 +0.6278

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway NOK= 9.1243 9.1721 -0.52% +5.62% +9.1816 +9.1096

Euro/Norway EURNOK= 10.0530 10.0628 -0.10% +1.48% +10.0878 +10.0438

Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.8431 9.9586 -0.75% +9.81% +9.9583 +9.8191

Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.8443 10.9258 -0.75% +5.65% +10.9325 +10.8310

Dollar Drop https://tmsnrt.rs/2MsZGbd

Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

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