FOREX-Dollar recovers vs yen, U.S.-Iran tensions still in focus

Published 06/01/2020, 21:50
Updated 06/01/2020, 21:54
© Reuters.
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* Japanese yen rises to 3-month high vs dollar

* Oil currencies not impacted yet despite oil price spike

* Markets in wait-and-see mode on next U.S., Iran move

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds analyst's comment, updates prices)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, Jan 6 (Reuters) - The dollar rallied against the safe-haven Japanese yen on Monday, but

stayed weaker versus the Swiss franc, as market sentiment remained cautious amid concerns about a broader

escalation of Mideast conflicts after the United States killed Iran's most prominent military commander.

The yen and Swiss franc gained earlier in the session, extending a flight to safety that began on

Friday after Iranian Major-General Qassem Soleimani was killed in a U.S. drone strike on his convoy at

Baghdad airport. That rally, however, has lost some steam.

"On the technical side, the yen has been strengthening even before the Iran thing so that play may be

overdone below 108 yen and we're seeing the dollar coming back toward 109 yen," said John Doyle, vice

president of dealing and trading at Tempus Inc in Washington.

"With something like this big, the major knee-jerk risk-off move is often short-lived and that's

basically what we're seeing now. Equities basically are back flat and that correlates well with

dollar/yen," he added.

U.S. President Donald Trump warned of a "major retaliation" if Iran hit back, while Iran's replacement

commander vowed to expel the United States from the region. On Sunday, Iran further distanced itself from the 2015 nuclear agreement with world powers, which the

United States withdrew from in 2018, saying it would continue to cooperate with the United Nations nuclear

watchdog but would respect no limits to its uranium enrichment work. The yen surged on Monday to a three-month high around 107.75 versus the U.S. dollar, but was last down

on the day as the greenback strengthened to 108.44 yen JPY= , up 0.2%.

The Swiss franc, another safe-haven currency, rose against the dollar, which fell 0.3% to 0.9690 franc

CHF= .

The dollar index was down 0.2% at 96.674 .DXY .

The greenback is sometimes seen as a safe-haven asset given that most central banks hold it as their

main reserve currency and a big chunk of global companies trade using dollars, but the yen and the franc

represent a more traditional safe-haven bet.

Implied volatility gauges in euro/dollar, the most traded currency pair, on the other hand, were

relatively calm, suggesting investors are not yet fleeing to add protection to their portfolios by buying

currency options.

A currency volatility index developed by Deutsche Bank was only marginally up and still close to its

record lows. .DBCVIX

Currencies sensitive to global risk appetite were weaker, including the Australian dollar, New Zealand

dollar and Swedish crown.

The British pound was trading up 0.6% at $1.3158 GBP=D3 ahead of a crucial week when British

lawmakers are due to reconvene to debate the Brexit deal Prime Minister Boris Johnson has agreed with

Brussels.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 3:37 PM (2037 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1190 $1.1158 +0.29% -0.18% +1.1206 +1.1157

Dollar/Yen JPY= 108.4000 108.0800 +0.30% -0.40% +108.5000 +107.7800

Euro/Yen EURJPY= 121.32 120.60 +0.60% -0.52% +121.3900 +120.2900

Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9687 0.9725 -0.39% +0.09% +0.9717 +0.9677

Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.3160 1.3086 +0.57% -0.75% +1.3174 +1.3065

Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.2967 1.2999 -0.25% -0.15% +1.2990 +1.2960

Australian/Doll AUD= 0.6933 0.6951 -0.26% -1.25% +0.6957 +0.6926

Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0841 1.0846 -0.05% -0.10% +1.0859 +1.0833

Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8501 0.8530 -0.34% +0.56% +0.8545 +0.8493

NZ NZD= 0.6668 0.6663 +0.08% -1.01% +0.6680 +0.6645

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway NOK= 8.8003 8.8384 -0.43% +0.25% +8.8545 +8.7869

Euro/Norway EURNOK= 9.8488 9.8615 -0.13% +0.11% +9.8835 +9.8427

Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.4085 9.3961 +0.39% +0.65% +9.4353 +9.3888

Currency volatility index close to record lows https://tmsnrt.rs/2SSaogq

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