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FOREX-Dollar slides after Trump bans travel from Europe to fight virus

Published 12/03/2020, 03:45
Updated 12/03/2020, 03:54
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar slides after Trump bans travel from Europe to fight virus
EUR/USD
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USD/JPY
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* Trump announcement rattles markets

* Dollar falls 1% vs yen, 0.5% vs euro

* ECB awaited 1230 GMT

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, March 12 (Reuters) - The dollar careened against

the euro and yen on Thursday after U.S. President Donald Trump

rattled markets with a month-long ban on European travel to the

United States.

The dollar fell 1% to 103.32 yen JPY= and 0.5% to $1.1328

against the euro EUR= . The safe haven Swiss franc CHF= rose

0.6%. The Australian dollar AUD=D3 fell 0.4% to $0.6580.

Trump on Wednesday suspended all travel from Europe to the

United States for 30 days starting on Friday in order to fight

the coronavirus. In a televised address to the nation, he said the

restrictions applied to all of Europe, excluding the United

Kingdom. Trade would not be affected by the curb.

"Already we know the economic impact is significant, and

with this additional measure on top it's just going to multiply

the impact across businesses," said Khoon Goh, head of Asia

research at ANZ in Singapore.

"This is something that markets had not factored in...it's a

huge near-term economic cost."

The U.S. move comes on top of a string of increasingly dire

news on the coronavirus that has ended the longest bull run in

U.S. stockmarket history and sent world markets into turmoil.

MKTS/GLOB

The World Health Organization overnight described the

outbreak as a pandemic. Italy, where deaths rose by nearly a

third overnight, has shuttered all shops except supermarkets,

food stores and pharmacies. Australia on Wednesday announced an $11.4 billion stimulus

package including wage subsidies and cash payments to small

businesses. Investors are also waiting to see how agressively the

European Central Bank (ECB) moves when it meets later on

Thursday.

Investors expect the ECB will cut its main deposit rate by

10 basis points. But it is no certainty since rates are already

at a record-low -0.5% and further cuts could hurt bank margins

and so squeeze lending.

A press conference is due at 1230 GMT in Frankfurt, after

the monetary policy meeting. It follows emergency rate cuts in

by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, and the

expectation of more to come.

Futures markets have priced the lower band of the U.S. Fed

funds rate hitting zero by next week. 0#FF:

"There's a sense to which currency markets are going to

reward the currencies of countries that are seen to be using

whatever space they've got for easier fiscal and monetary

policy," said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at NAB.

"(But) even if the ECB wheel out a cocktail of lower rates,

stepped up QE, more long-term ... in itself, that's not going to

inspire a huge amount of confidence that the eurozone economy is

going to escape recession. The hope would be that we'll have

something more tangible on the fiscal side sooner rather than

later."

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