FOREX-Euro slides after ECB stimulus; dollar gains after NY Fed move

Published 12/03/2020, 21:19
Updated 12/03/2020, 21:27
FOREX-Euro slides after ECB stimulus; dollar gains after NY Fed move
DX
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* Euro falls after ECB decides not to cut rates

* Dollar jumps, analysts cite swap spread rise

* Safe havens like the yen and franc remain in demand

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds analyst comment, updates prices)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, March 12 (Reuters) - The euro weakened on Thursday, as investors were unimpressed by the

European Central Bank's stimulus measures to fight the economic fallout from the coronavirus outbreak,

with investors flocking to the safe-haven dollar after the Federal Reserve said it will inject liquidity

into a banking system showing signs of stress.

The ECB approved fresh stimulus measures on Thursday to help the euro zone economy cope with the

growing cost of the coronavirus epidemic, but kept interest rates unchanged. "They (ECB) very much felt the pressure to at least do something because every other central bank is

lowering interest rates or doing multi-policy fronts that will help banks and businesses," said Erik

Bregar, head of FX strategy at Exchange Bank of Canada in Toronto.

A few hours later, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said it will introduce $1.5 trillion in new

repo operations this week and start purchasing a range of maturities as part of its monthly Treasury

purchases in moves to stem panic caused by a market meltdown. It offered $500 billion in a three-month repo operation on Thursday and will offer an additional $500

billion in one-month repo and $500 billion in three-month repo loans on Friday.

The move, though, hardly stabilized the currency and stock markets, as it further increased demand for

U.S. dollars.

"We don't think this can turn around risk sentiment – it can't prevent the upcoming slowdown in

consumption and economic activity," said Elsa Lignos, global head of FX strategy, at RBC Capital Markets

in London.

"But it does mean that financial markets don't need to hoard liquidity in the way consumers have been

hoarding tissue paper and pasta," he added.

In afternoon trading, the euro fell 0.8% against the dollar to $1.1176 EUR=EBS .

The dollar rebounded sharply against a basket of currencies after the ECB announcement, and held gains

after the NY Fed announcement. The dollar index was last up 0.9% at 97.455 =USD .

Analysts said the dollar had rallied as swap spreads on major currencies blew out and investors

scrambled for the U.S. currency.

The dollar had earlier struggled after U.S. President Donald Trump banned travel from Europe to stem

the coronavirus.

With the latest ban posing a fresh disruption to the global economy, traders were also disappointed by

the lack of broad measures in Trump's plan to fight the pathogen, prompting traders to bet on further

aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve.

Fed funds futures on Thursday implied traders saw a 100% likelihood that the central bank's benchmark

overnight lending rate will fall by at least another 75 basis points this month.

The dollar rose 0.9% against the Japanese currency JPY=EBS to 105.49 yen, way above a four-year low

on Monday. It also rose 0.8% against the Swiss franc to 0.9455 CHF=EBS .

Trump announced on Wednesday a 30-day ban on travellers entering the United States from 26 European

countries, effective from midnight on Friday.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 3:51 PM (1951 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1191 $1.1267 -0.67% -0.17% +1.1333 +1.1056

Dollar/Yen JPY= 105.4500 104.5300 +0.88% -3.13% +106.0800 +103.1100

Euro/Yen EURJPY= 118.02 117.73 +0.25% -3.22% +118.3200 +116.3200

Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9449 0.9387 +0.66% -2.37% +0.9552 +0.9323

Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.2613 1.2820 -1.61% -4.87% +1.2849 +1.2492

Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3825 1.3776 +0.36% +6.46% +1.3896 +1.3706

Australian/Doll AUD= 0.6324 0.6484 -2.47% -9.93% +0.6492 +0.6267

Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0576 1.0574 +0.02% -2.54% +1.0591 +1.0543

Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8871 0.8790 +0.92% +4.93% +0.8913 +0.8776

NZ NZD= 0.6150 0.6267 -1.87% -8.70% +0.6277 +0.6093

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway NOK= 10.1008 9.6906 +4.23% +15.06% +10.2631 +9.6889

Euro/Norway EURNOK= 11.3080 10.9190 +3.56% +14.94% +11.4346 +10.9054

Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.6686 9.5158 +0.83% +3.44% +9.8738 +9.5016

Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.8112 10.7227 +0.83% +3.27% +10.9476 +10.7284

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