FOREX-Euro, yen gain as dollar's rate advantage evaporates

Published 06/03/2020, 09:48
Updated 06/03/2020, 09:54
FOREX-Euro, yen gain as dollar's rate advantage evaporates

* Euro, yen hit highs vs dollar overnight

* Tumbling Treasury yields blunt U.S. rate advantage

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tommy Wilkes

LONDON, March 6 (Reuters) - The dollar fell further against

the euro and yen on Friday as sliding U.S. Treasury yields

eliminated more of its interest rate advantage over other

currencies.

Mounting fears over the effects of the coronavirus have

driven a drop in expectations for U.S. rates. Markets now bet

the Federal Reserve will have to cut rates by 50 basis points

for a second time this month. FEDWATCH

The resulting collapse in Treasury yields has ended one of

the most popular carry trades globally - borrowing at negative

rates in the euro and yen to buy U.S. assets.

The euro has now reversed all its earlier losses for the

year, rising from below $1.08 a few weeks ago to above $1.12.

ING analysts said they were targeting $1.15 in the coming

weeks as aggressive U.S. rate cuts contrasted with the limited

room for action at the European Central Bank. Fed fund futures

0#FF: were pricing in about 90 basis points of further easing

by the end of the year.

"For now, expect USD weakness vs G10 FX to continue, and the

G10 FX segment outperforming EM FX, with carry trades under

pressure," they said in a research note.

The euro last stood at $1.1234 EUR=EBS , after touching

$1.1249, its strongest since August.

The dollar index was down at 96.438 =USD , close to its

weakest this year.

Against the yen, the dollar dropped 0.3% to 105.82 yen

JPY=EBS . The yen is benefiting both from dollar weakness and

its reputation as a safe haven.

The dollar was not weaker across the board. It still holds

safe-haven status compared with emerging-market currencies and

those exposed to commodities.

That left it holding gains against the Canadian CAD= ,

Australian AUD= and New Zealand dollars NZD= , along with

currencies across Asia, where the coronavirus economic effect is

pronounced.

Sterling stabilised after Thursday's move higher. It was

last up 0.1% at $1.2971 GBP=D3 .

Euro vs U.S. dollar https://tmsnrt.rs/32Z01KS

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