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FOREX-Norway's crown slides to 17-year low, euro drops on rate expectations

Published 16/08/2019, 12:33
© Reuters.  FOREX-Norway's crown slides to 17-year low, euro drops on rate expectations
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* Appetite for safe-haven currencies recedes

* Dollar maintains gains as euro, Norwegian crown wilt

* China's central bank fixes yuan lower than expected

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds context, quotes, chart, updates prices)

By Olga Cotaga

LONDON, Aug 16 (Reuters) - The dollar rallied on Friday,

hitting a two-week high against the euro and reaching its

strongest in more than 17 years against the Norwegian crown as

expectations for lower interest rates weighed on the European

currencies.

The euro fell to $1.1073 EUR=EBS , within a whisker of the

two-year low it reached at the beginning of August. The biggest

move however was in Norway's crown, which dropped to more than a

17-year low of 9.0390 against the greenback in early Friday

trading NOK=D3 .

Better-than-expected retail sales data in the United States

on Thursday also encouraged buying of the dollar.

The crown extended its selloff after the Norges bank said on

Thursday its plan for an interest rate rise this year was now

more uncertain.

Norway's currency has been falling fast since June as the

price of oil - its principal export - has tumbled and as fears

of weaker global growth and tougher trade relations weighed down

on the open Norwegian economy. Trade tensions between the United

States and China intensified last week after President Donald

Trump warned he will be raising tariffs on additional Chinese

imports this year.

The crown later rebounded and was last up 0.3% at 8.991.

Against the euro the crown rose 0.6% to 9.9655 EURNOK=D3 .

Earlier this month the crown dropped to a near 11-year low

versus the euro.

"There's no good reason to be super bullish on the Norwegian

crown," said Lauri Halikka, a fixed income and foreign exchange

strategist at Nordic bank SEB.

The euro fell on Friday due to growing expectations of an

interest rate cut by the European Central Bank after Governing

Council member Olli Rehn suggested on Thursday that the central

bank could restart its quantitaive easing programme and was open

to extending it into equity purchases. "For the markets this came as a surprise," said Ulrich

Leuchtmann, an analyst at Commerzbank (DE:CBKG). However, the euro is

unlikely to sink much further on this reason, Leuchtmann said.

"ECB-induced euro weakness will be relatively limited

(because) if Europe's common currency would weaken too much, the

U.S. government's pressure on the Fed (to weaken the dollar)

could intensify."

Measured against a basket of six major currencies .DXY ,

the dollar was higher by 0.1% at 98.266. It has recovered by

1.3% from its three-week low on Aug. 9.

Data showing U.S. consumers kept spending in July came as a

relief after the U.S. Treasury yield curve inverted this week,

which historically has preceded U.S. recessions The inversion stoked worries about the impact of the

Sino-U.S. trade war. The curve steepened a little on Friday

US2US10=RR .

China on Thursday said it would retaliate for the latest

U.S. tariffs on $300 billion of Chinese goods, but Trump said

any pact would have to be on America's terms, suggesting a

resolution to the trade war remains elusive. China's offshore yuan, whose plunge past 7 to the dollar

last week sent shivers through financial markets, was weaker on

Friday at 7.0530 CNH=EBS . The People's Bank of China fixed the

onshore yuan currency at 7.0312 on Friday, compared with market

expectations at 7.0307, according to analysts at Commerzbank.

Sterling GBP=D3 was up 0.7% at $1.2160, after reaching an

eight-day high of $1.2169 earlier. Against the euro, the pound

reached two-week high of 91.94 pence EURGBP=D3 .

Strong correlation between oil price and Norwegian crown since

June https://tmsnrt.rs/2NdQYj0

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